The latest Investing Matters Podcast episode featuring Jeremy Skillington, CEO of Poolbeg Pharma has just been released. Listen here.
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@Mandrill. You are correct: https://ccdd.hsph.harvard.edu/will-covid-19-go-away-on-its-own-in-warmer-weather/
I don't think temp affects the lifecycle per se, rather - in cold weather people stay indoors more and immune systems are weaker.
It's its not it's by the way.
thing is immetjes remember we have no idea what temperatures affect it's lifecycle. Sometimes fever which are more dominate in Scotland, do not even survive in likes or Cornwall. We do not have enough data. I know lots of people believe the conspiracy that the Illuminati or the funny handshakers are involved in this or the CIA, I do not buy that, ( if the CIA did unleash this on China, and the Chinese found out, there would be 3rd world war) I think the Chinese screwed up and the Elite market controllers ( GS, JP, BoA, The usual suspects) have taken this as an opportunity to do a market correction.
Agree. COVID19 will transfer in an endemic virus just like influenza and the cold.
In about a year or so 40%-70% of the world population will have developed a natural defence against the virus. The way forward now is not to try and contain the virus as this will not work. Instead try to slowly introduce the virus into the society, this to prevent a peek in the amount of ill people which the health system would be unable to deal with.
It shall also be noted that COVID19 seems to mostly effect the temperate zones during spring and autumn. Tropical areas are hardly effected. So around May or so this is all over for the Northern hemisphere.
Thanks for an interesting comment, Modestus.
All the deaths from this virus in France (two) and Philippines (one) were of people from Wuhan, yet you would imagine on reading most reports that the victims were French and Filipino.
This virus is more contagious than some others, but not especially virulent, and even the contagion seems not as virulent as media reports would suggest.
"I just want to point out one thing though. This market is pricing in CoV spreads in US and all other major economies as well. I monitor the Chinese data quite closely. If you exclude Hubei province, then the number of diagnosed patients in ALL other provinces combined today is just 20 individuals. Since Feb this has been rapidly declining from 900 per day to 9~20 individuals today. People are coming back to work, including my owned business in Shanghai and Hangzhou (quite a few of my employees resigned though, due to fear of getting contracted), and quarantine in the office building is quite strict (need to have temperature measurement devices, specified masks, etc). So the impact on China will rapidly diminish by the later half of March and early April. If the market is pricing in prolonged contraction in China, then based on what I experience and what I see my friends' businesses are doing, that is just not true.
Not saying CoV shouldn't be treated seriously, but to be honest, I think the $13/bbl of sell-off in oil is probably overdone."