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Jiffy, yup, that’s my source for the current weather conditions.
HH,
Re: Weather Data on TOL
Saved this useful link from someone on this board, think it was ???Matrix???, can't remember in full.
https://www.fugroweather.com/WeatherMonitor.Net/Displays/TransOcean/C20229_1/monitor_HMS8c_20min.aspx
“demob” ops, not “demon” ops.
Bloody autocorrect.
Does anyone readily have to hand the location of WW in relation to the current rig location on Lincoln.
If it is directly west of the current rig location, then review of the past track of the Njord Viking may indicate that it is currently buoying off the pre laid moorings on WW in preparation for the rig move from Lincoln.
They wouldn’t conduct that much in advance of the rig’s intended move (24 hours should be ample time) from starting demon ops from Lincoln.
IMHO
Current weather from the rig would certainly indicate there to currently be suitable weather to do so if indeed they have completed all ops on Lincoln.
Significant wave height 1.4m, maximum wave height 2.1m, and winds of 18 knots gusting 20 knots at the helideck level.
Mind you, that is only the weather being experienced currently, I don’t have access to an accurate forecast for the location, but given that it is only a short hope to WW then a sustained period of suitable weather of only circa 48 hours would likely be necessary.
Look at the vessel tracks in the morning, as that will indicate if demobilisation activities on Lincoln has commenced.
IMHO
All boats are at the rig...hopefully she ll get moving tonight.
Sorry...Warwick 204/30b....permits submitted and at decision stage....the 205/26b was to lacate fixed equipment but was nt required due to no commercial oil being found....the linccoln permits are active....the new permits are for Extended well test...just checked boats booked
10 Sep 19 AHTS NJORD VIKING HURRICANE UK R/M TO LEADER, D/D 14 14 Sep 19 GBP 77,500
10 Sep 19 AHTS BRAGE VIKING HURRICANE UK R/M TO LEADER, D/D 14 14 Sep 19 GBP 77,500
10 Sep 19 AHTS FAR SIGMA HURRICANE UK R/M TO LEADER, D/D 14 13 Sep 19 GBP 70,000
And 205/26b permit has been revoked....cancelled
Just home. Thanks Aduk, Biffa etc. for the answers to my questions. Appreciated
John
Justlooked at the uk permits for Warwick 204/3 and its at decision stage
Well Type Appraisal
MoDU Transocean Leader
Platform None
Chemical Permit CP/2095/0
SUBMITTED - 5th September 2019
SAT Start date - 17th September 2019
APPLICATION STATUS - Decision
Ha NMH19. I remember Napier and Stevensons Colleges in Edinburgh merging into the Scottish Higher Institute of Technology. Then they decided not. Now Napier University.
Quite possible that they have looked at the WD result and changed the plan for the next drill. Pretty sure the OGA would be supportive of this and facilitate it with any changes to permits if required.
Yobbo,
"or maybe they are not aiming for the Crest anymore ? Could their plans have changed slightly for the next Warwick drill ?"
This is exceedingly unlikely. See my post of 17:51.
You’ve got to love abbreviations like this, I remember a team where I worked wanted to create some new management positions and suggested Business unit managers....I politely pointed out that bringing in a number of bums to our company was perhaps, not what we were looking to achieve...lol
That crossed my mind too. Although the other explanation is plausible too.
"Somebody in PR realized that the abbreviation WC could embarrassing if the second Warwick well went down the toilet."
..... or maybe they are not aiming for the Crest anymore ? Could their plans have changed slightly for the next Warwick drill ?
aboubleuk
The change from Warwick Crestal to Warwick West was indicated in the RNS on the 12th September.
"The Transocean Leader semi-submersible rig will now move to the location for the third well in the 2019 GWA drilling programme, 204/30b-A 'Warwick West'."
I am not aware of any previous indication of the change of name.
Somebody in PR realized that the abbreviation WC could embarrassing if the second Warwick well went down the toilet.
204/30b-A was previously referred to as Warwick Crestal but more recently in comm's, Huricane has referred to this well as "Warwick West". No conspiracy, no change of plan or new permits needed IMO.
Hi adoubleuk et al,
From the 12 /9/2019 RNS :
…"The Transocean Leader semi-submersible rig will now move to the location for the third well in the 2019 GWA drilling programme, 204/30b-A 'Warwick West'. …"
ATB
feelinlucky,
"another question: the next well was 'Warwick Crestal' which is now 'Warwick West', does the name change imply that they have to drill a vertical 'exploration' shaft to establish they geological identifiers such as water contact and depth of production zone etc, before the 'crestal' bit they already expect to do and (in future) produce from?"
A post from Cebo at 10:01 this morning is the first time I've heard of 'Warwick West'. Are there references elsewhere to this name?
Personally I very very very much doubt that there's been a change in the well program to incorporate a 'pilot hole' like Lancaster 7. For starters a radical change like that would require a slew of revised permitting by OGA, and from a technical viewpoint I don't see that anything would be gained by such a change.
Also, although I'm not 100% certain of this, I believe such a change would require an RNS announcement as it would represent an increase in budget, and also an extension in timescale.
another question: the next well was 'Warwick Crestal' which is now 'Warwick West', does the name change imply that they have to drill a vertical 'exploration' shaft to establish they geological identifiers such as water contact and depth of production zone etc, before the 'crestal' bit they already expect to do and (in future) produce from?