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Suprised Diageo or Coca Cola haven't come in for a bid
I hope they pushing the SP down for someone to try to make an offer. I am a very satisfied shareholder but I think it’s the time to sell it for the right bidder.
GL
Kachrafilter,
I suspect Blackrock are using this as a short hedge against other longs they have elsewhere
They probably think there wont be news until the next Trading Update so they see themselves as fairly safe and unlikely to get caught out ...
All a bet on the earnings for the year.... p/e has come down considerably at these levels
..but earnings affected by costs, of course
The large shorts are concerning - specifically from an outfit like Blackrock - the sharp increase in the short makes me feel that they know something which isn't public (seems to be a common theme with AIM stocks). Unless, of course, this is a bet that rising inflation and cost of living will adversely affect individuals and force people to switch to cheaper alternatives?
I can't see this happening - based on the fact that Fevertree paid a special dividend, are ramping up their distribution in the US and the key summer period ahead and deals such as this in the UAE - https://www.hotelnewsme.com/suppliers/bidfood-signs-exclusive-on-trade-distributorship-for-fever-tree-products-in-the-uae/
I think this could be a great time to buy into to Fevertree - especially as it is at a 52 week low. The massive shorts are pinning this stock down and their expectation is for this to drop to 1000 (why else what they bet at 1300-1350?
Bit ridiculous given their May update. Next update should be a half year update in July - lets see what that brings.
Shorts now 7.1% 2nd most shorted share after CINE thats jumped last 24hrs, looks like Blackrock added now 3.91% short
Today, the bulls think any 0.75% rise is priced into the market and take their opportunity to steal from the shorters work... same with the likes of OCADO and ITM
What's the next price point then, 1280?
The drop today is possibly because the idea of a FED 0.75% hike is suddenly on the table ..shorters hedging against any FED damage
JonHarris
I suspect the shorters are using this as a hedge , and a bet on the economy getting worse .... almost a bet that the FED/ Central Banks/Governments will screw things up with regards any soft landing ...
They will only close (on the whole) when they see a conclusive reason to do so...which isn't present at the moment .....
Everything is really waiting for the FED tomorrow and Powell´s comments - is he going to hit the panic button?
As there are only 117m shares it would bounce well ...but the volatility moves both ways of course
I hope this company gets acquired for £2billion.
Can we get coca cola, PepsiCo, and Schweppes on the phone please and get this deal done?
Fevertree also have a dividend due in September, so would be perfect for them to do a buy back now, and then provide a bumper dividend to holders.
That would be good to see, if Fevertree buy back about £100m worth of shares, (circa 7m shares at current price), would be a good bit of market consolidation and the make the BoD and major holders very happy.
Buy back! Buy back! Buy back!
No chance of a takeover in the present financial climate. Good price for Buy back of own shares ???
Well if your are a short that is in profit during market uncertainty then best to recoup profits in order to have free cash on hand for bigger opportunities.
Considering that a board member and major holder increased their positions, it's a big sign this share has been trashed to the floor.
Wild considering the company are in profit with lots of money in the bank.
If anything would be good to see Fevertree aggressively start acquiring other companies and further expanding their market to directly compete with Coca Cola and Pepsi Co. Massive markets to be had in the middle East, US, and EU that are non-alcoholic drinkers.
Keep saying it - you'll be right eventually.
No negative news about the company.
A peak revenue time of year.
Only a few sells and the price dropped.
The shorts are desperate to get to get out.
Time to squeeze the shorts combined with majority holders increasing position, the shorts gonna get burned!!!!
Certainly looks like the shorts are trying to close position with the share price drops.
Average day if trades is around £1m and we had £6m on Friday.
Plus major holder increasing their position.
This should bounce back with all the buying to mid 16's within a week or so.
DYOR GLA
At this price the shorts will be looking to close, so that they can realise profits and use to buy other shares that have dropped further the past week.
Nice consolidation of share
Not really, the majority of shorts took a position a whole ago when the share was much higher.
As such the share price is clearly showing its hit bottom.
So now would be the time that the shorts would look to close to realise as much profit and possible.
If this jumps back to 17 then the shorts would be screwed.
Valuation must be a key reason for shorters, near PE of 40 with a possible recession coming up and how much growth is left in the UK. The key is the US if it keeps growing in the US then it might be able head higher again but if it misses could easily see below £10. Shorters most likely see this as a pretty good bet if there is a miss on expectations vs massive growth keep SP heading higher.
I would say they are a perfect target for Diageo to both compliment their product range, and also diversify their product range would be a good move.
Or if Pepsi Co decide to take over to expand their hold on mature drinking audiences (both alcoholic and non-alcoholic).
Considering the growth of non-alcoholic drinkers in the west (US, EU, UK), and including growth of middle East and Asian markets, fevertree is starting to look like a good acquisition to spring board market dominance over the next 5 years.
Not sure where you heard those "takeover rumours" but I wouldn't pay too much attention. This is still not a cheap share.
Shorters need to buy back circa 6 million shares (about £90m) soon. Looks like we've hit the floor and little to no major sellers left. As such, the shorters will be desperate to close position before the bounce back.
Or if the takeover rumors are to be believed then the shorters could be squeezed hard and cause the price to rocket fast.
shorters have their teeth into this....pushing it lower on recession fears