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Sad day for you as i'm invested here with 92607 shares at an average of 12.73p and am holding on until T/O so will be posting as and when i feel like it, if you don't like it then I suggest you filter me. XX
Firstly I never said that AVCT would be "£50 soon" so there is your first lie, secondly other people are quoting much higher figures than anything Iv'e put on here, I mean have you read some of todays posts? the stock of the decade and all that? why do you deramp crew members/trolls have to go round misquoting and mis representing, you lot lie so easily, the general consensus seems to be that the T/O here will be in the £1 + range, don't think I stating anything over the top by stating that am I?
I thought I'd filtered you but clearly not, that will soon change . XX
Cannot agree more ,I've been in since October , after the Sxx debacle ,where Jones Richard was pathetically ramping ,my blood went cold when I saw that he's appeared on here .
Serial loser
Lth r pretty unaffected by either ramp or de-ramp here. All we know is if we sell we do so much higher than 17p a share. As offers are potentially immanent nothing else matters.
That guys JonesRichard is a serial ramper, he was on AVCT saying £50 sp soon and he's saying similar ramping nonsense on EUA, ignore the guy with his wild ramping rubbish.
re.... the 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.......?
does'nt thay imply that the resources are infinite....
Think I need some hlp here in understanding the valuation methodolgy......
Here's the details..Worth a look at simply wall st. Data from there site. Its a 10 year projection I think. Not always up to date with latest info but I find it a great place to find undervalued plays.
Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Eurasia Mining.
AIM:EUA Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Levered Free Cash Flow Average of 1 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 7.8%
Perpetual Growth Rate 10-Year GB Government Bond Rate 1.2%
An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.
Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for AIM:EUA
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 10-Year GB Govt Bond Rate 1.2%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 6.9%
Metals and Mining Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 0.92
Re-levered Beta = 0.33 + [(0.66 * Unlevered beta) * (1 + (1 - tax rate) (Debt/Market Equity))]
= 0.33 + [(0.66 * 0.919) * (1 + (1 - 19.0%) (0.01%))] 0.946
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm) 0.946
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 1.22% + (0.946 * 6.92%) 7.76%
Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for AIM:EUA using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Eurasia Mining is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We use analyst's estimates of cash flows going forward 5 years for the 1st stage, the 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
AIM:EUA DCF 1st Stage: Next 5 year cash flow forecast
Levered FCF (GBP, Millions) Source Present Value
Discounted (@ 7.76%)
2021 236.2 Analyst x1 219.18
2022 430.98 Est @ 82.47% 371.11
2023 681.35 Est @ 58.09% 544.43
2024 960.91 Est @ 41.03% 712.5
2025 1,240.42 Est @ 29.09% 853.49
2026 1,497.52 Est @ 20.73% 956.15
2027 1,720.28 Est @ 14.88% 1,019.25
2028 1,905.7 Est @ 10.78% 1,047.76
2029 2,056.47 Est @ 7.91% 1,049.19
2030 2,177.87 Est @ 5.9% 1,031.07
Present value of next 5 years cash flows £7,804
AIM:EUA DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
Calculation Result
Terminal Value FCF2030 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= £2,177.873 x (1 + 1.22%) ÷ (7.76% - 1.22% ) £33,685.79
Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
£33,686 ÷ (1 + 7.76%)10 £15,947.93
AIM:EUA Total Equity Value
Calculation Result
Total Equity Value = Present value of next 10 years cash flows + Terminal Value
= £7,804 + £15,948 £23,751.93
Equity Value per Share
(GBP) = Total value / Shares Outstanding
= £23,752 / 2,725 £8.72
AIM:EUA Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Value per share (GBP) From above. £8.72
Current discount Discount to share price of £0.17
= -1 x (£0.17 - £8.72) / £8.72
Weathergeek just put the workings out up, make of them what you will, some people say simply wall street not worth taking any notice of, other say the opposite, so who the hell knows.
That’s what I think from memory. I didn’t keep the report but that value is probably feasible in 10 years. But what we are interested in is now and there are so many views and calculations we will have to wait for the bod disclosure.
Eurasia Mining
MARKET CAP
UK£463.2m
LAST UPDATED
2020/07/11 21:03 UTC
DATA SOURCES
Company Financials +1 Analyst
Is Eurasia Mining undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
Analysis Checks 2/6
>50%
Undervalued compared to fair value
Share Price vs. Fair Value
98.1%
Undervalued
Current Price
UK£0.17
Fair Value
UK£8.72
20% Undervalued
About Right
20% Overvalued
Below Fair Value: EUA (£0.17) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£8.72)
Significantly Below Fair
Jones Richards can u give us a calculation how they got to £8.71?? a share.
The valuation you are referring to I believe you will find is the guesstimate share value by 2029 if Eurasia just continued as is .Feel free to correct me if I have misread the article
I believe they had it at something like £8.71 fair value so presumably a fair bit higher than that!
Anyone know what the £ fair price is now we have returned?!