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Excellent post brynjon
very good post Bryn.
I did however post a SP guess. I have chastised myself for doing so but will look for a suitable birch branch to ensure I am motivated better in future. I did caveat it and give a spread, however I was not clear that it was a hypothesis price for my what if scenarios.
for newbies or prospective newbies, or just those new to AIM. I would suggest looking at BBs of AIM shares that experience significant SP moves to see how the nature of BB posts changes.
Before I get posts saying that posts to a BB do not move a SP, I agree the impact is minimal but can increase liquidity. For some traders that play in the margins game that is all they need.
I am not suggesting ignore them, just try to understand the motivation. There are one or two who amidst the posts of 10x by tea time or no substance to the rise and it will be back below a penny by breakfast there are some genuine knowledgeable posts.
Hi PI et al. To clarify I was not suggesting anyone had made a price prediction, however, on nearing the time when the wolf whistlers start calling upon this BB, I anticipate the usual guess the day/price/volume (delete as appropriate) games which to be honest bores me and fills up the board with way off posts. It is that which I aimed my comment at generically.
As you rightly state PI - each and everyone of us will have their own plan and in reality their own idea of a life changing sum of money.
Gen
No one should be afraid of any criticism as to when they bail out, nor should there be any for those who stick instead of twisting in the case of a catastrophic loss as has occurred here before. I hate and detest those who bleat on and on and ridicule those who make their own decision good or bad. The current band of brothers posting are not the usual suspects - we will notice those miscreants soon enough.
We all have an aim to make some money here - we are all entitled to a whinge about how the company treat us, however, the company do not know us, and would they even be thinking of us as individuals? The answer is no - they would expect each and everyone of us to have done due diligence in the company and have the realisation it could come to nought, even though we all hope it bags us many thousands if not a few million.
So we mere Private Investors are a means to fund a high risk/reward company and we are but numbers. If we were customers I would accept there should be more information coming from the company, but they have told us what is occurring already. Any major change to that status quo, I would anticipate they would tell us. IMHO of course.
Stay safe all ;@)
sorry Bryn, and for other posters who read my post as a price prediction it is not intended as such.
It should have been clearer. The end price could be anywhere with a deal. We simply do not have enough information to have an educated estimate.
It will very much depend on any terms the major imposes, and at this stage of the game I do think the major is in a place to dictate terms to a degree.
What I would say is that any holders who have read deep enough into the post history or those who have been here since the birth of the dinosaurs I no longer have as much faith in an 87p party as I once did.
I do have a plan to top slice if we see a decent RNS and associated SP rise, I would be happy to discuss it but my plan will and should be different to everyone else's plan on the basis it is highly unlikely that our holdings or financial circumstances and targets are aligned.
My suggestion is to have a fair idea of what you plan, but keep it fluid as the news flows and the SP moves. Run through various 'what if...' scenarios and make sure you are comfortable with how each may play out for you personally. Be ready.
Oh and I predict the SP for a stock you have never heard of XOXOXOX will 10 bag from here based on maude the cleaner reading an article in her glossy tv mag that said in 10 years time we will all be living on Mars and eating freeze dried insects. You heard it here first.
We all would like to see a duplicate of the last big positive RNS - though we can all merely speculate that we will receive one and guess what a possible re-rate price would be.
I have to say I am not a fan of that guess the price game as people can get sucked into a potential big roll money dream.
Everyone here will have a price which they will feel comfortable to sell at. Some will sell some and stop-loss the rest. Some will keep holding and potentially win or lose big.
Each and everyone of us will have a choice whether the company gives us a positive RNS in the 'near future' or otherwise. I am happy that the SP has retained some of the positivity compared to where we were pre-announcement May 2018.
I'm off for another dose of patience medication. Stay safe all.
I agree, on news we will be past 6, 7, 8 in no time.
There are many private investors who have been part of the BPC story but left out of frustration at timelines that would flood back in. There will be a raft of new money just because of the share price movements (day traders).
It would not surprise me if this alone took us back to the 8+p range
There will be the true value shift over and above this. Depending on the deal we could be anywhere. Living in hope rather than expectation of an 87p party.
More realistic 20 - 50p range will do very nicely.
There were no leaks or volume increase before exclusivity, so news will probably come out of the blue once again.
on the right news we can forget 6 or 7
that will be surpassed very quickly