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Well this escalated quickly. Remember kids, be wary of strangers on the internet… no not me, the other strangers!
I’ll be delighted to be shown phenomenal news today/tomorrow. However, I think we’ve all been here too many times to buy into precise deadlines at this stage. It wouldn’t be the first slippage vs expected plans. Personally, I’m happy to give the benefit of doubt that information has been shared in good faith, and it is coming. Ophidian, your Mologic collaboration call did transpire to be spot on, which IMV is too specific for a lucky dart throw.
Thought it was public knowledge coolfree was eggys third account...
Almost as obsessed with ophidian as NDN is coolfree, hmmmmm
coolfree, it seems like you and a few others are the only one's hanging on to his every word. The rest of us, including Ophidian actually if you bother to read his posts properly, are approaching this investment based on the whole Avacta case, which is strong even if you removed the LFT's from the equation. As it happens things are shaping up nicely in the LFT space, but how much you want to blow that up in your mind is up to you. Try not to project your limitations onto others, it's patronising and tedious.
Bad news RD. I now understand the desperation - https://bit.ly/3jkgz9y
We know it has been submitted. It is highly likely after this period of time that this is the nth submission where n > 1, so you'd hope that all required points have been addressed with this particular submission. How long each submission takes to make its way through the process is anyone's guess, but barring any further requests for change, "...I sincerely hope we are close to having that CE mark".
https://youtu.be/Gs069dndIYk
Son of Sam (Tuppence) cannot be wrong. Even when its clear he is. Always waiting to be proved right at some point in distant future.
Sharing information is great - making it up and validating it with a nod and a wink is just sentiment manipulation. We all know HUA has been applied for - using it to create a foundation of truth just doesn't cut it.
Anyone pantomime season is nearly upon us so suspect you will be busy
Tim, do we? ( think it will to, so its just a bit of devils advocate, but if it was that easy there would be no need for approval, so it could fail by definition as failure is an option, in that it will be approved or it wont.
But as i say, i agree it will, but then the next question more importantly is, when?
Do you think it makes a difference to AVCT if it is approved tomorrow or in say, March? (I am not suggesting it will be March simply trying to understand why after all this time, such positive assumptions are constantly made.)
(BTW, You can still buy into a stock for its potential but have longer timeframes for results).
I will an HUA is coming we all know that.
"wrong again"
Had a good chuckle at that one. You said it.
keep watching Timster
I think the flaw in your argument PL, is that you seem to advocate reacting to the news once its in and THEN base the decision to buy/sell from there. Although this seems to make sense its not actually true in reality:
The SP does not reflect the current value of the company at that specific time. Its always looking ahead.
When you originally bought AVCT it was for its potential, so you decided that the SP, if some or any of the potential was realised in the undefined future, it made the then SP look good value at the price you paid. You did not buy expecting the SP to have topped out .
Currently there is an expectation that if LFT comes good and the trials come good the SP will rocket. If neither happens the SP would be just a few pence, but its 123p, so there are many expecting some good news to arrive, but if they wait until the news is released the SP might be 300p and even then people will still buy on the ASSUMPTION there is even more good news to follow which will project the SP higher still.
None of this is rocket science but I think it does contradict your criticism of recent "news predictions". Whether these predictions turn out to be true or false is largely irrelevant, all share buys and sells are people making judgements on what they think FUTURE news will be. The only difference is most don't bother explaining the reasons for their action on investment BB's
Hate to say this Ophidian but your post on the mologic thread.
"I gave a heads up several weeks ago that this had gone in - ah me.... wrong again....."
Well yes you are wrong it's clearly mologic's test
cycling back to the price manipulation pump and dump theory again I see - well at least it's a change I suppose - and round - and round - and round play the man not the ball that's what the whiteboard says this week
Ah, I see! I hear what you’re saying, but I think you’ll find that we are in violent agreement. :)
I do love a good false dawn though. Settles the market’s nerves, for a time. Amazing that everyone always seems to forget the last ones when the next one comes round.
Co, I was agreeing with you that HUA is independent to the UK govt's plans. Sentiment is clearly correlated with share price movements, that's the desire behind those 'in the know' that are 'collaborating' by posting specific dates and prices - despite them not actually knowing anything.
Given we've not shifted from the recent price range, their comical efforts have thankfully been rightfully ignored. What will truly power a rerate will be genuine news. We're awaiting HUA, we need to see confirmation that manufacturing is increasing as that provides confidence that sales are coming through. Ideally confirmation of signed contracts and not forgetting early results from AVA6k. I agree with your last sentence, we'll get there. Lots on the horizon without the need to create false dawns.
CO, its just my experience of DT formations, They tend to work more often then they fail but for me, not enough to base a decision on in terms of risk reward..
The whole game buying and selling is psychological and if proof were needed it is the old adage of "buy on the rumour, sell on the news", which is so often the case.
There will always be examples of an RNS that is so good, so out of the blue, that it takes the market completely by surprise, but generally the criticism that TA can't "deal" with RNS's is actually not true.
And this could be an example: Say, we get good (RNS) news tomorrow and the SP jumps to 140p (or even more) (10 % plus), TA would have flagged that yesterday with the DT and previous breakout.
We will have to wait and see, but obviously the news of the company and the expectation is all reflected in the current SP and most buyers want to get in before the rise rather than after it, hence the buying can sometimes and often does in my experience, "predict" whats likely to come next.
I agree with that to a large extent PL, and if all news comes as a surprise or at unexpected intervals, it would be independent.
But buys/sells and their impact on charts are about psychology. And expectation of news within specific time intervals has an impact on psychology, which feeds into buy/sell decisions and therefore charts. Just look at small oil stocks in the run up to drilling results.
So I was reflecting that they can be dependent, if the chart is coiled up ready for a breakout, but whether it does or not depends in part on whether positive news lands within the expected timeframe or not. So if Wyn says the chart looks like a 60% chance of that breakout, maybe in broader terms it means the market is on average 60% confident of good news landing some time around the end of the pattern… If he’s reading the tea-leaves right, of course!
And perhaps nefarious individuals have been driving that expectation, or perhaps it’s been driven in good faith. We’ll get there in the end.
Correct CO, it's independent. Perhaps there's a group of nefarious people that are attempting to benefit from creating hype and posting very specific deadlines.
It’ll be interesting to see how that chart formation plays out with news or lack thereof by the end of the week. A lot of expectation has been built in certain quarters. People talk about charts and news being separate and independent, but they do tend towards co-dependence as the SP coils like a spring when good news is anticipated.
Personally I can’t see why the EU body dealing with HUA would give two figs about UK gov timelines with respect to granting their approval, but I remain open to pleasant surprises.
or it might go down
Do you have a link to an example pls?
Double top formation was triggered yesterday close indicating a move to at least 138p which coincides neatly with the the next 140p resistance level.
Iimo its not super reliable but is one of the more recognised and obvious patterns and as a result its often a trigger fore new and more experienced traders alike to act upon.
So while I am pleased it is in play I would personally on its own would put a 60% ish likely hood of it "working" but, with the other indicators it re-enforces the break out (imo)
So to my mind its another confirming piece in a more likely upward move,