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RMG Share Chat - RSS Feed

Royal Mail Share Chat (RMG)



Share Price: 438.40Bid: 438.20Ask: 438.40Change: -4.40 (-0.99%)Faller - Royal Mail
Spread: 0.20Spread as %: 0.05%Open: 443.00High: 446.00Low: 435.80Yesterday’s Close: 442.80


Share Discussion for Royal Mail (RMG)


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dfslicker
Posts: 88
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:403.80
View Thread (2)
Price
6 Jan '15
Going under £4 today!
 
richard12345
Posts: 703
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:410.20
View Thread (2)
RE: drop
6 Jan '15
@dfslicker

it should eventually rise because of the lower price of oil, but will it fall before it rises?

each company probably has to be evaluated individually,
I'm still waiting for a big RMG purchase to appear in the RNS

the huge fall in the price of oil can only improve the RMG profit margin
dfslicker
Posts: 88
Research
Opinion:Hold
Price:427.00
View Thread (2)
drop
5 Jan '15
The stock market will rise by as much as 17 per cent this year according to the City's most bullish experts, despite their forecasts for 2014 having been wildly over-optimistic.
richard12345
Posts: 703
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:425.00
View Thread (8)
RE: drop
5 Jan '15
@JJSS

its just 2 cycles, so you shouldnt put your house on it!

I think the stock market changed fundamentally around 1998 because of internet trading. in the old days you had to invest via a stockbroker and it was too much effort. the stockmarket has become much more hazardous since about 1998.

so far the markets seem conformant with the prediction, if it is true then this time its going to be much faster than in the financial crisis.

I'm keeping out of the main market because the FT100 graph is too volatile, and too many plummets of major companies in 2014.

RMG is much safer than the general market,

I had a look at the link from your other post, which is an interesting perspective. Maybe the US shale gas was taking too much money from the saudis and its a price war. the Saudis have to be careful as they are making financial enemies of the US and Russia.

for long term investment, you shouldnt be in a hurry to invest in shares. there are some eras where everything works well, and some when everything goes wrong. sometimes cash is better than shares.

you need to know when cash outdoes shares and sell off everything, pay the CGT, and wait for many months.
JJSS
Posts: 1,318
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:425.00
Financial Crash
4 Jan '15
http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/us-markets/guess-what-happened-the-last-time-the-price-of-oil-crashed-like-this?post=53841

'If you have been waiting for the next major financial collapse, what you have just read in this article indicates that it is now closer than it has ever been.

Over the coming weeks, keep your eye on the price of oil, keep your eye on the junk bond market and keep your eye on the big banks.'
JJSS
Posts: 1,318
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:425.00
View Thread (8)
RE: drop
4 Jan '15
Richard, you talk sense!
True , 6 & 7 year periods. Though not tested over long periods of time. Taking into account other factors ,yes probably a slump this year.
However, previous crashes took some time before prices hit the bottom. If the bottom is this March coming, the pattern would be different this time.
richard12345
Posts: 703
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:429.90
View Thread (8)
RE: drop
1 Jan '15
@JJSS

disregarding fundamentals, the pattern is the market low will be in March 2015. the highs have been every 7 years 2000, 2007, 2014?, the lows every 6 years in march: 2003,2009, so the next low would be in March 2015.

that's not a prediction, just a pattern like the santa rally, its something to see whether or not the pattern recurs.

RMG is relatively undervalued, the market is relatively overvalued.

for general investment I'm going to wait till after the general election, the RMG annual results should be a few weeks after the general election.

I may buy some RMG shares in Jan, havent decided yet, will see how things develop.

but I'm not buying any other shares, I enjoy the lack of stress not owning any shares at the moment and am only putting a small amount of time on the stock market.

although RMG has large variance in the short term, I think the long term trend will be gradual, so there is no rush to buy in.





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