lol very true and no I think the contestants acted alone, but they were in two minds so I don't know where that would leave us either. so now I'm wondering - if you had cards numbered 1 to 10, and you had to guess which was 10. So you turn over the cards not chosen apart from one, and none of those turned were 10. Would you have a bigger chance of picking the 10 if you swapped? ... probably not as that would suggest you got something for nothing. Have to think... : (
I am in the same boat as seanhunter, hoped to buy this share just before Q3 results, anticipating news of a dividend etc. nand a good rise with the intentions of leaving it then, but don't feel comfortable with doing that yet. ... a bit frustrating and probably I should just have faith and leave it, as a watched pot never boils. I'm sure this will get there in the end. To be fair its proving reasonably resilient today 77.86 ish just now live I think oooo ... and yes Bluesky made a good prediction on resistance.
I'll give it to MrBlue and someone else on here for recent prediction - resistance at 78.89 (despite hitting 79.14 we did fall back to the 78.9 point for a while and it was a bit of a battle) and if we didn't break through - and we didn't - a straight drop back to the 77p area. And here we are.
This mid-70s thing is bugging me so much. I bought as buy-to-forget but can't just leave it, I have to keep looking at the SP. i ought to totally not look again till Feb, but these three-step-forward-two-steps-back movements are making me feel I ought to sell and buy back in the dips. A sell at 79.04 yesterday morning would have made a lovely buyback at 77.37 today. It's a bugger.
As for the Monty Hall thing, the principle is played out on a much larger spread in C4s "Deal or No Deal", where people do their best to see probability and pattern in what is effect utter randomness. It's not just pensioners opening boxes.
In essence you have it I think. There is a cat a goat and a car - although we don't know if there's a cat because its in a box and may be dead. When dead it bounces but I never really know when a dead cat bounces ...whether that's not a lot (which it ought not to be to be) or a surprising amount). The goat is also in a box but there are two of them and the car is a hatchback... no wait a minute I might have got this wrong...
The discussions go on and an - see wikipaedia below - but much more fun to try it for yourself at the second site... Sorry its not much to do with Lloyds but that's not very interesting today anyway.
I was trying to see if we could learn anything from it to help with the Stock market predictions and sadly it has only convinced me more that the only people who can really benefit is the insider dealers.
They as described are like the stage hands and KNOW where the car is.
If I only knew the news before it was published how wealthy I could become.
I have no idea what you guys are talking about, but from what you said is there a goat that could be dead but isn't until we look? Also that results are now known and he that who knows the results is he who has carnal knowledge of them in office that don't get silly money.. So does anyone have an idea about what's likely to happen?
I guess in fact if all the facts were known the odds are 0% the car is behind one door and 100% they are behind the other if all the facts are known - so probability is in the eyes of the beholder.... That is unless its schroedinger's car. He must have gone to his garage very nervous every morning that guy...
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