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Aminex Share Chat (AEX)



Share Price: 1.775Bid: 1.75Ask: 1.80Change: 0.00 (0.00%)No Movement on Aminex
Spread: 0.05Spread as %: 2.86%Open: 1.80High: 1.80Low: 1.725Yesterday’s Close: 1.775


Share Discussion for Aminex (AEX)


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TIPTOP
Posts: 5,265
Answer
Opinion:Strong Buy
Price:2.20
kikadini
8 Jan '15
Nothing against Wentworth.....not a bad company and I agree it is undervalued but just rather vanilla in comparison to Aminex. They also hold much smaller percentage ownership of their acreage.Wentworth has blue sky estimates in Mozambique and Tanzania of circa 1.3 TCF if all their targets come in (that was before poor results at Tembo). Where as we have blue sky potential of circa 8 TCF and massive potential for further increases. Sheer scale of resource is the difference in comparison in my opinion.
 
RAZERWIRE
Posts: 122
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:2.23
july
8 Jan '15
I think this is why he is saying july, There is 6 month testing to be done when the pipe is complete
http://energytanzania.com/mtwara-dar-gas-pipeline-testing-arranged-january/
pyjamaboy
Posts: 614
Premium Chat Member
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:2.23
potential
8 Jan '15
Is good, rumuva CPR gas newsflow ,fill your boots
CrustyPete
Posts: 409
Answer
Opinion:Buy
Price:2.23
View Thread (5)
RE: July ?
8 Jan '15
Why July? Loan payments and financing...... We need the cash flow provided by Kilwani to fund next stage.
Kikadini
Posts: 6
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:2.23
View Thread (6)
Financing
8 Jan '15
I am a holder of WRL and has traded AEX in the past. What surprises me greatly is that the market is putting similar value on the two companies, despite (in my view) very different cash flow profile and financial risk profile. If I get this right:

1. AEX is barely able to keep the company afloat beyond the loan repayment in July.
2. The exploration commitments on Ruvuma (4 wells @ usd 10-15 mill a piece?) by end 2016 requires massive asset dilution or equity dilution (plus additional commitments in Nuyuni).
3. AEX has pledged Kiliwani North as collateral for the Ruvuma exploration commitment, most likely limiting the options available for monetizing the Kiliwany North cash flow.

In my mind AEX is a house of cards that requires a lot of glue to withstand unforeseen events, the glue most likely being attractive farm-out deals on either Ruvuma or Nuyuni. The massive reduction in cash flow generation that potential partners are experiencing now is hardly good news for AEX farm-out efforts. The same goes for the increasing risk profile in all energy related loan portfolios around. So, although (in theory) onshore natural gas in Tanzania should be shielded from the imploding oil prices, the financial risk profile of AEX is not.

WRL on the other hand has full control over their assets (nothing pledged to anyone), has signed the GSA and should see massive cash flow from their Tanzanian assets over the next few years. And they have the option to build a significant cash position should they decide to reduce the exploration risk in Mozambique.

Opinions?
Kev4
Posts: 678
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:2.23
View Thread (5)
RE: July ?
8 Jan '15
Who knows why Tiptop just slipped in July, Patrick. But, as you can see, any rational questions or discussion on this board is drowned out by the rampers. We even have a decent poster actually apologising earlier for asking reasonable questions.

Anyway, I see most energy companies are doing ok today on the back of positive employment data from the US and a hope that the EU will do something about the floundering Euro. By 'doing Ok' I mean breaking even. This oil price crisis is having a devastating effect on share prices. I wouldn't be overly concerned for Aminex (providing it overcomes the issues which have been highlighted) as its main product will be gas but the sentiment towards all things energy seems very negative right now. I expect that to change in H2.
irishmouse
Posts: 364
Off Topic
Opinion:Strong Buy
Price:2.20
maverickD
8 Jan '15
I share your views this is what we all are looking for, I am 100% sure we are being looked at by some with a view to take over,but everything MUST be in order before that happens,this takes time an hurdles to climb,so we sit and wait, dream and get frustrated, but this is the name of the game.I am sure in time this will come good (very good) but we still have many up's and down's to go through. Mouse
MaverickD
Posts: 5,944
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:2.18
Irish Mouse
8 Jan '15
Some speculation or atleast mooted on the BBs is the current market cap in relation to our asset, acreage and potential. I for one can see a mid tier or even a major (no shortage in the area) coming along and buying us up - similar to the Cove Deal. Now even if we had a low ball offer say £300M then that is a very healthy return on investment for those buying in now
patrickd369
Posts: 2,820
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:2.18
View Thread (5)
July ?
8 Jan '15
Where has that come from ??
MaverickD
Posts: 5,944
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:2.18
Re-Rate
8 Jan '15
Would see this north of 10p that is for sure.

Its just a waiting game - we know what we have and the pipeline is there. Sign up the agreement and then revenues commence it is as simple as that.

I for one believe we will see a strong finish to the week.





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