free movement of people is the show stopper that caused brexit so if they won't negotiate on that (which they won't as it is a founding principle) then there is no way back
the only question is therefore is what trading deal can we negotiate outside of the EU. WTO rate at worst but given the balance of trade between UK/EU we should be able to do better than that as it will hurt them more than us.
I'm not saying brexit over with, but the initial impact has been there will be shockwaves yet but that aside and market rebalancing could Rkh finally start climbing out of the 30's? I sold before brexit at 37p and bought back at 33p, happy with the extra shares but I didn't like being out!
See the Scots mad woman has been told to go away by the EU leaders who will only talk to London. Seems everything is open for negotiation except movement of people. Spain and France were quite dismissive of the Scots Missy as expected.
$50.59 now on the back of EIA numbers. US Crude stocks to 24 June down 4.1mln bbls Cushing (WTI crude) down 951k bbls Gasoline stocks up 1.4mln bbls Distillate down 1.8mln bbls. Looks like oil market is balancing out quicker than GS etc thought. Saudi Aramco has always said July/Aug so they know what they're talking about. BP's Dudley forecasts $60-65 for H2 2016 also.
I suspect the Scots don't want leave UK either and its simply personal vanity plus ego from both Sturgeon and Salmond. No chance of joining Europe as both Spain and France don't need a Catalan problem plus I doubt Merkel would accept responsibility for taking sides with Edinburgh against London. As it is that woman is dangerous to both the Scots and English.
But Sturgeon is also on a personal crusade. I don't want the Scottish people to leave the UK despite it costing more to keep us united. I wonder what deal they would get if they wanted to join the EU without Sterling? Adding another country of 5.3mn people that needs to be propped up by Germany and won't do much for Merkel's campaign for re-election. Scotland relies on oil as the major economic driver and that investment has been lead by others + the defense build contracts that will go south makes no sense for her to persue this path to oblivion. Nigel has no mandate except spoil it for everyone, yet Nicola has a mandate and far more dangerous.
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