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Gulf Keystone Petroleum Share Chat (GKP)



Share Price: 26.50Bid: 26.50Ask: 26.75Change: -2.50 (-8.62%)Faller - Gulf Keystone
Spread: 0.25Spread as %: 0.94%Open: 29.00High: 29.00Low: 26.25Yesterday’s Close: 29.00



Share Discussion for Gulf Keystone (GKP)


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Subito
Posts: 230
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:26.50
Subito
Today 11:36
Hi ValJu, sorry running behind as usual due to attending to my business requirements in parallel with reading here. Didn't grasp your theory in regard to the KRG independence factor. Please clarify.
In respect of pi elimination, yes, of course that must be the objective but the real issue/question might be: will the SP have to rise in order for the accumulators to take profits or will the 'profits' manifest themselves in the form of GKP ownership/future value? If so, it could mean that the SP would have to rise by far less than true value (?) to the level of a low takeover (successful, obviously) bid - thereby shafting all remaining investors.
In summary, if enough shareholders hold enough shares purchased at low SPs, a takeover price will be voted through at low levels rather than high levels because the vote-casting accumulators will be buying at the proposed TO price, not selling, at that point.
Does that make any sense?
In any case, please keep the thread alive for discussion and input from others who will understand the scenarios more clearly than I do. The subject is very important for us all to take into account when considering our strategies.
 
bazmanblue
Posts: 2,647
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:26.50
..
Today 11:35
Headless chickens
ValJu
Posts: 61
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:26.50
kiplingcakes
Today 11:31
That is the problem, TO OPEN ? Sorry but doesnt feel right to me, just saying?
Kiplingcakes
Posts: 403
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:26.50
9 days stoppage in July/August
Today 11:30
KRG-MNR ‏@MNRKurdistan 32m32 minutes ago
9 days stoppage in July/August, reducing export to less than 50K/day. Net loss of over 5 million barrels at $50/bbl = at least $250m loss
NickiMinaj
Posts: 3,727
Off Topic
Opinion:Strong Buy
Price:26.50
swell - Genel
Today 11:30
My own view of Genel is that the listing price was too high. It has been below that level for most of the time. Whilst the recent dip appears heavy, if one guesstimates the initial over-pricing, the effect isn't so marked. One of the things that one can do is calculate the market cap. value per 2P and per 2P+2C barrel, at listing and now, and consider those numbers. The same measure for Gulf as it stands today (2P, and 2P+2C) is an interesting comparison.
MSmith
Posts: 2,776
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:26.50
View Thread (2)
RE: Valju
Today 11:30
I dont think you will get it but good luck.
ValJu
Posts: 61
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:26.50
well on the bright side
Today 11:30
the lower the sp, the more chance of a takeover... not that it will suit all, but, its looking more likely.... mcap just over 250 mil, which is the size of the last loan and the one before that... sp is utter nonsense... imo
Kiplingcakes
Posts: 403
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:26.50
View Thread (2)
Valju
Today 11:29
Been very open about my buying and selling here, forgot you guys dont like the idea of trying to make a profit...

Currently waiting for entry sub 25p. Still hold half of holding bought at. 35p

Sold half when support at. 32p broke.
pyrotech
Posts: 2,890
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:26.50
i did say
Today 11:28
two days ago, that expect low 20s as we wait for news, but that if we survive the payment fiasco then this will repeat history and climb like it did previously.
The worry is just payments, the bond interest in particular.
We have enough in local sales for treading water, if KRG pay an amount in addition for export that covers the bond payment in October then we can breath easy again
We can pump all the oil we like but getting paid for it is the important bit
We must maintain £50m in bank

Personally i think we will get it all in time and survive, but thats the only news that matters now is financial increase in revenue. We have many ways to reach it
1. A payment from KRG in addition to local sales
2 Sell company if price right
3, sell an asset
4 farm in partner who takes some costs and/or pays big sum to farm in

So although a risk of failure with not enough payments, there is favourable odds that we will get thru it.
Most pi's todays price is irrelevant and its price at the end game that matters
ValJu
Posts: 61
Off Topic
Opinion:No Opinion
Price:26.50
kiplingcakes
Today 11:26
you change your direction more than my other have does! so is the resistance or is it gone, or are you simply shorting ?





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