valid points, but in my perhaps simple view, there is so much money, jobs etc at stake for all parties, I would hope that some common sense prevails and some sort of a deal is brokered between the EU and the UK. I suspect this will have to happen after Article 50 is triggered, to keep face for all. If you look at the number of cars for instance that come from Germany to the UK, the Germans could not afford to have those cars taxed out of existence by the UK. Visa versa also applies for goods to the EU from the UK. GLA it's going to be a very strange few years. Never mind Mr. Trump and his 10c worth.
For any one interested in politics this is an unbelievable time. Game of Thrones wouldn't come close to the political intrigue. Did a US president or any of the worlds craziest dictators ever make such an isolationist, divisive, negitive, or confrontational acceptance speech in history before. And then to follow it up with the most bizarre down right day of lies about nuclear war...sorry I meant the size of his...CROWD. Ok, I know the lies were contrived so he wouldn't have to talk about the real story, the Pu**y rebellion. GUBU (google it) comes to mind.
Leave President Trump (really??? President Trump) behind for a minute and look at Brexit. Before the end of March the UK WILL invoke Article 50. That is the equivalent of pressing the fire button on all dodgy trident missiles and praying at least 1 hits its target and none land in your own back yard. There is no going back once that button is pressed and the 2 year clock starts counting down. Parliament voting on any agreement is a red herring because it wont matter what they say. The real say is in Europe and at this moment May is making all the wrong moves. Who ever is advising her is a prat. Threatening the destruction of the union if she doesn't get her way was not the way to go and the danger of Her getting sucked into a Trump web is worse. He is likely to lead her down the wrong path and further damage her chance of a decent deal with Europe.
I know some are attacking Sensetalk for his talk of BKIR going back below 20c. Some of his points are wrong but if May continues on the path she seems intent on then it will happen. We may well hit 30c before then but without a deal giving the UK EU market access and some sort of free trade then we are in big trouble and thats a certainty. Of course its also a certainty that it will recover again when the dust settles but we are years from a 40c party. Maybe 5. Sorry guys but thats the way I see it from where we stand now.
To finish I'll just go back to the Pu**y marches all over the world. There is the seeds of a turning point in this far right movement in the protests. If the French Middle or german middle could harness or tap into that rebellion against Trump and far right policies then maybe there could be a turning point in Europe.
I am sorry but the establishment/ powers that be have never deviated from the thought of full blown brexit. Ye are all clinging to hope. Brexit is catastrophic for this bank. For the next 3 yrs uncertainty and undervalued sterling is going to take every drop of blood out of this bank's share price. Prem Watsa is jumping ship because he has people in the right places to predict what is coming down the line. Dividends wont happen. They will be pushed back...... based on brexit Decision. Strong sell...
I am pleased that you agree with my assessment of Brexit but what we don't know really, is what the Tory's will do when the panic sets in over seats. Maggie was chopped off quite unceremoniously and Theresa May is far from being as well established.
Once The Masters of The Universe start emigrating, the first thing that will notice will be unrest in the ranks and the leaders lifespan in office. One thing that won't happen is that Bill Cash or that Redwood man from Woking won't be in the race.
The situation in the north is troubling, because quite good strides have been made in putting in the footings for progress, which was always going to be slow due to the nature of the politics when trust can so easily be undermined. Certainly the Conservatives will try to look as though they are interested in maintaining the peace in the north but quite frankly their track record says otherwise. Without the Unionists being in power or whoever else they needed to support them in a hung parliament or to maintain a fragile majority they really could not be less interested - how helpful or constructive was Patrick Mayhugh when he was Northern Secretary ?
The next two years with Brexit, The North and Bill Hayley's occupation of the White House and the other situations in the Middle East and Russia and the Ukraine we will have much to think about.
Whilst I can see a role for Michael D Higgins and projecting the Ireland case into the debate on the future of the north, I'm not so sure where "Inda" fits in. Will be visiting the North again in March and will be very interested to visit one or ten of the pubs on the Ormeau Road to canvas opinion amongst the FLAG WAVERS to see if there has been any change in their traditional siege mentality.
This whole situation is real box of frogs and no mistake.
If aib are given one , b.o.i must be given one , ....... Also courtcase on tueday will be intersting, Also i think german finance minister talking about brexit really calmed the negotiations as he is top dog now
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