Don't know why the seller is selling but most days we have an AT attack early doors, usually in lots of 5000. Because there is very little liquidity in the share, these sells are having a big effect. On the positive, read that Soros has made his biggest investment into YPF and that when Kirchner was in NY for her UN speech, she had a meeting with the big man - guess he has had the assurances he needs for his big shale play in Vaca Muerta. He is also invested, long time, in SLE and other hopefuls on shale in Poland. I have been grinding my teeth there for several years waiting for the commercial find, something we don't have to do with Vaca Muerta cos it is already producing commercially. But wait we must for value to be recognised here. If I sense a bottom, will buy some more as we have great assets and prospects and currently growing our production too.
It is not correct to compare Petroamerica value ratios with Andes ratios. Most of the Andes value comes from its position in the Vaca Muerta unconventional shale acreage, not from current production or ebitda. To do that properly, you need to adjust Andes value, deducting the value of Vaca Muerta acreage first, and then do the ratios with the EV residual conventional value and compare them with other pure conventional E&P companies.
We have had a mid-day AT attack the last 2 days - will it be 3 in a row? If they take it much lower, I'll think about toppping up as this share might be illiquid but that doesn't make it a 'bad' share, just way off the radar. Shale and Argentina are both unloved, for now, but see Soros has just gone big into YPF, our partners in the Vaca Muerta so not everone is blind and chasing todays 'hot' stuff.
Good to see that Andes are moving ahead with their assets in Colombia. In my mind a good deal as we are gaining a strong local partner (Trayectoria), and possibility of further deals with them down the line, for shares at the current SP. There is no point in sitting on licences - they are there to be developed and as we don't have the cash to go it alone, getting in good partners at a good price is ideal. Trayectoria are one of the top 5 Colombia E&P companies with further operations in Brasil - their licences are in Sergipe which is where we have also have a stake (possible further tie up with them in Brasil down the line?) - and Guatemala - a serious company indeed.
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