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Exclusive: Hardman & Co Investor Forum - Severn Trent, Calculus Capital, Volta Finance, Residential


Member Info for Tom78


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Member Since: Sat, 27th Mar 2010

Number of Share Chat Posts (all time): 531
Number of Share Chat Posts (last 30 days): 5

Last Posted: Tue 19:56


Post Distribution over the last 30 days




Tue 19:56

I find it strange that they want to issue 5% more shares for cash and then buy back 10% of the shares in circulation, I'm obviously missing something so if anyone can explain the point of this please do.
All AGM resolutions have duly passed according to the RNS.

Regarding buybacks I have updated my figures which have been running since last November to buy a piddling $10M worth of shares.

Purchase To date volume 613,418
Total expenditure £6.408
Avg price per share £10.36

Based on 1.3 $/£ we are 80% complete on the current buyback, which has really been slow.
1 Jun '19

Yes the numbers look reasonably solid but we cannot ignore the fact that tobacco volumes are only going one way. Whether next gen products will plug the gap in regards to lost profitability remains to be seen. What happens if governments start banning those? Sentiment against tobacco started around two years ago and has not stopped yet it seems if anything to be accelerating given the 20% percent decline in SP in a month as you say with no real company specific news. That's why I don't like it right now.
31 May '19

I don’t think so. It would have held around 6% yield. They could halve the div and still yield 5% now. Looks very bad here I wouldn’t put another penny in.
28 May '19

Who knows, but I do know I should have sold when I last posted at 22 quid.
24 May '19

I think it will be a long time until we see over 9 pounds
17 May '19

In regards to dividend return it'a a case of how long is a piece of string until we know how it has performed in this last quarter. First quarter was well below expectations, but recent volatility may be on our side.
10 May '19

Unless the half year results are stunning in comparison to the first quarter - no.
10 May '19

Flying today like a lead brick
9 May '19

I first bought in 2011 for £20. Unfortunately I added on the way up and didn't sell any at £40 (big mistake) my current average is a shade under £29 and like yourself -22% on capital. Of course over the years dividends will have offset some of this but how long can they keep on pulling rabbits out of the hat.
9 May '19

I just checked on the price here after a few days away and shocked to see it below £22. The half year report was obviously not well received with such a decline in tobacco volumes. I'm torn whether to just cut my losses here now and accept it was a bad investment.
18 Apr '19

No not really a trick just the price that is agreed on at the end of the closing auction. Before open there is an opening auction that sets the first trade price then whatever after is determined by the buy and sell orders. I have noticed HL often do not quote the UT as the close price on equities but it really is the close as you can see from the London stock exchange website.
12 Apr '19

I wish you the best of luck my friend thankfully I only hold 500 shares now so today has put me down a grand and a bit, some of the losses talked about on here are quite frightening.

However I do think you are being a little foolish (don't take this the wrong way) buying in on the day of a large drop as I have seen so many times before it can keep on dropping and dragging you down further. In fact on being on LSE nearly 10 years I have seen it all gulf keystone, Yell, xcite energy etc. The busiest chat boards are often the very worst investments long term that is.

From Plus500 point of view what worries me is the costs and the fact new customers are simply replacing those that are not trading given a 4% decline in active users. Another worry is the EPC clients generating 50% of the revenue are not mugs so with a 28 million loss trading this quarter what evidence do we have it will be different in the future?

Another worry if that wasn't enough is that coming into the summer months summer is normally quieter for trading and if it was bad now then what then?
5 Apr '19

I don't either but they always do!
5 Apr '19

Peel hunt cuts target price to 620p from 775p keeps a buy rating.

That's the reason for today's slump
4 Apr '19

Probably not but we are in very strange times indeed. Still Shares have perked up a bit.
29 Mar '19

At least a decent rise today
29 Mar '19

I was wondering if the absolute mess of a government falls the Jeremy fear factor is playing a part here. Still holding here and 3IN which has been a better investment.
26 Mar '19

The dividend is not fixed it's 60% of the profits, if profits go down the gurgler so does the divi !
21 Mar '19

The whole sector seems so out of favour right now. If you look at IG data today the pro traders were the biggest loss in revenue not the retail ‘mugs’ with leverage restrictions so maybe ESMA is being overplayed
21 Mar '19

Because they are in the same business so it stands to reason that PLUS is likely to be suffering a similar fate, all supposition of course until PLUS releases it's own next revenue update figures due around May


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