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Member Info for ShrewDEds

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Member Since: Fri, 11th Sep 2015

Number of Share Chat Posts (all time): 172
Number of Share Chat Posts (last 30 days): 11

Last Posted: Wed 11:37

Post Distribution over the last 30 days

Wed 11:37

Turns out that I called it right. Funny that they have notified at 11%, given that they didn't at 6, 7, 8 or 9. Have I missed something?

The other missing info is where their buys are. Yes there have been plenty of trades at around the mid point which could account for them, but they were matched trades in the main, and I wouldn't have thought there have been 6M or so. Could this accumulation have taken place away from the exchange? Is that even possible? Are Lombard hoovering up shares from institutions that have smaller positions?

Could the next stage be one or other of the existing institutions starting to buy from Mms in the normal way, which would no doubt break the resistance and trigger PI buy in?

Excuse my ignorance, just trying to make sense of it all.
Mon 11:50

Yes, 'sales' definitely in inverted commas though. The matching pair will not be actual sales.
Fri 08:55

I could be wrong, but it looks to me that an institution, possibly Lombard, is still buying.
12 Jun '19

Following the growth warning in March 2 x 5% holdings and 1 x 10% holding sold, although we don't know how much they disposed of. We now have pretty much a matching set of buys, with 2 x 5% and Lombard increasing their holding from below 5% to over 10%. Obvious that institutions see significant value at this level, and whilst they don't always get it right it is reassuring that they have taken the same decision as me.

As I've stated previously it was clear that an order was being worked, so I've been continuing to buy when funds became available. The opportunity is still there to buy at the same level as this crop of institutions, and at slightly below my average. It will be interesting to see how long it lasts.
12 Jun '19

Look at yesterday and day before.
12 Jun '19

Predictions are so hard to get right though aren't they. Take GENL for example. Anyone following your tip would be 5% down already, and yet no doubt you are still confident.

You clearly have an agenda to post negative views on PHD, but there is absolutely no reason for anyone to take any notice. Institutions will move this share, not chancers on messageboards.
7 Jun '19

In many ways it depends on the return that you want. Frustrating though it is to see other shares flying, these are the minority. Most rainbow chasers are serial losers. Yes you may take your money out and select a share that will rise immediately, but it may also fall.

PHD has been in the doldrums for a couple of months, but if it even rises to 40p it's a 30% increase. I wouldn't always suggest waiting as the best way forward for AIM shares, but this is a profit making business with a plan to bring back growth. Not much day to day excitement maybe, but a good medium term bet that in my view is better value than a series of short term gambles.
31 May '19

Actually IIs have bought. You missed that out of your synopsis.

You are right about the sells. Or at least apparent sells. Lots of them over weeks, creating a significant imbalance. Yet the SP is stable. Who has bought the shares MQ?
24 May '19

Good finish. Add PHD to your imaginary sea of blue MQ.
24 May '19

Yes I do. You believe differently if you wish. There is plenty of evidence of IIs buying into PHD at multi year lows. Perhaps they didn't realise that the trade was a short.

Anyway, it's good to hear that your shares are a sea of blue, although a little strange to see that your only posts are on shares that you say are going down. Do believe what you write?
24 May '19

Still no trade reported from the sudden jump a week ago. Not sure how that could be, unless it is still being filled. Definite background buying though.
20 May '19

Very much doubt it, unless MQ finally accepts the SP is going to rise not fall.
17 May '19

Plenty of depth on the bid still. I can sell 250,000 shares at 30.56 if I wish, but much tighter on the offer. Not too sure what the trades today are about, especially the 2 x 25,000, but I presume that these are not sells as such.

Mms clearly happy to take their time at the moment, but it would certainly be interesting if a few buys came in. Today's price represents a great opportunity in my view, backed as it is by what seems to be a sizeable background buy. Not many seem to recognise it just now, but I agree we are not far away.
16 May '19

Next news will probably be another TR1 given the background buying. Before that we should see the publication of the recent large background buy being put through. After that who knows, new contract/new product?
14 May '19

Don't know how the Hi and A arrived, but you get the gist.
14 May '19

Offer and bid continuing to strengthen. Not much PI interest at present but it's the IIs that will likely move this. Hi
14 May '19

Tick up. Another background buy? Presumably. A
14 May '19

Certainty looks like there was a home for the 300k shares 'sold' earlier.
2 May '19

Almost 60% of the shares are now either held by directors or institional investors with notifiable holdings.
2 May '19

They haven't. That is total shares. GAM have taken about 5 million, which is still a hefty amount.

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