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Macroeconomic News
INDICATORS - HUNGARY - Aug 10
Fri, 10th Aug 2012 18:46
BUDAPEST, Aug 10 (Reuters) - Hungary's latest indicators.
Base rate 7.00 pct (+5
2-week deposit rate 7.00 pct (+50 bps on Dec 20)
--------------------------------------------------------
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT CHANGE (pct)
Q1 2012 Q4 2011 FY 2011 Q1 2011
Unadjusted (y/y) -0.7 1.4 1.7 2.5
Calendar-adjusted (y/y) -1.2 1.5 1.7 2.4
Seasonally and
calendar-adjusted (q/q) -1.2 0.0 N/A 1.4
--------------------------------------------------------
INFLATION (pct change)
June '12 May '12
Headline CPI m/m 0.1 -0.2
Headline CPI y/y 5.6 5.3
Core CPI y/y 4.9 4.8
BREAKDOWN OF MONTH-ON-MONTH CHANGE
Food Alcohol Clothing Consumer Energy Other Service Total
tobacco durables goods
2011
June -1.0 0.2 -0.6 -0.4 0.1 -0.4 0.3 -0.2
July -1.2 0.2 -2.5 -0.2 0.1 -0.5 0.7 -0.3
Aug -1.1 0.5 -2.6 -0.3 0.0 0.8 0.3 -0.1
Sept -0.5 0.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 -0.1
Oct 0.4 0.6 3.8 0.2 1.6 1.4 -0.2 0.7
Nov 1.2 1.2 0.7 -0.1 0.5 1.5 -0.2 0.7
Dec 0.1 1.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2
2012
Jan 2.8 3.0 -2.7 -0.2 1.0 2.8 2.2 2.1
Feb 1.7 0.9 -0.6 0.1 2.7 0.2 0.3 0.8
March 0.8 3.0 0.9 -0.3 0.2 1.2 0.2 0.8
April 0.8 1.1 2.4 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.5 0.8
May 0.3 0.6 0.9 -0.3 0.1 -1.4 -0.1 -0.2
June 1.9 0.4 -3.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.3 0.7
BREAKDOWN OF CPI YEAR-ON-YEAR CHANGE*
Food Alcohol Clothing Consumer Energy Other Service Total
tobacco durables goods
2011
June 6.7 -0.9 4.9 -1.3 3.6 5.3 2.1 3.5
July 5.4 -0.3 4.9 -1.4 3.5 4.4 2.1 3.1
Aug 6.3 -0.1 3.8 -1.3 4.8 5.6 2.0 3.6
Sept 6.2 -0.4 2.5 -1.3 4.6 5.7 2.3 3.6
Oct 5.1 0.2 3.2 -1.2 5.9 7.4 2.5 3.9
Nov 5.1 1.6 3.4 -1.4 6.3 8.6 2.5 4.3
Dec 4.6 4.1 2.5 -1.2 5.9 6.8 2.7 4.1
2012
Jan 5.5 6.7 2.8 -1.5 6.4 8.5 4.6 5.5
Feb 6.0 7.6 4.8 -1.3 8.1 8.7 4.5 5.9
March 4.7 10.8 3.6 -1.4 6.8 8.6 4.1 5.5
April 4.2 12.6 2.0 -1.2 7.0 9.1 4.2 5.7
May 4.1 13.2 2.0 -1.3 6.9 7.7 3.8 5.3
June -0.1 0.7 -0.3 -0.1 0.0 -0.4 0.5 0.1
INDUSTRIAL PPI DATA (pct change)
PPI June 2012 May 2012 June 2011
y/y 6.9 7.8 -1.0
m/m -1.6 0.8 -0.8
--------------------------------------------------
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT (pct change)
June 2012 May 2012 June 2011
Month-on-month (adjusted) -2.2 3.5 -0.5
Year-on-year (adjusted) 0.6 2.4 0.8
Year-on-year (unadjusted) 0.6 0.1 -1.4
NOTE: June figures are preliminary. Month-on-month figures
are seasonally and working day-adjusted. Adjusted year-on-year
data reflect the number of working days.
-----------------------------------------------------------
UNEMPLOYMENT April-June March-May April-June
2012 2012 2011
Unemployed 10.9 11.2 10.8
(Pct of workforce)
Number of jobless 472,200 485,400 460,700
Employed 50.6 50.2 49.6
(Pct of workforce)
(million) 3.876 3.849 3.808
------------------------------------------------------------
May April May '11
GROSS WAGE GROWTH (Y/Y) 6.4 2.5 6.9
Private sector 9.4 6.5 6.6
Public sector -0.6 -7.3 6.6
Ex-bonus private sector 9.6 7.6 4.5
-----------------------------------------------------
RETAIL SALES (pct change)
May April May 2011 Jan-May 2012
Month-on-month -0.1 -1.0 0.2 n/a
Year-on-year -2.5 -2.8 0.8 -1.0
NOTE - Month-on-month retail data are seasonally and working
day-adjusted. Year-on-year data are working day-adjusted.
--------------------------------------------------------
BUDGET BALANCE (in billion Hungarian forints)
Jan-July 2012 Jan-July 2011
Central state budget -542.5 -1,367.5
Indep. govt funds 86.0 85.4
Social sec. funds 19.0 -212.4
BALANCE -437.5 -1,494.5
NOTE - The figures are preliminary, cash flow-based and do
not include local governments.
----------------------------------------------------------
DETAILED CENTRAL BANK C/A AND FINANCING (million euros)
Q1 Q4 Q1
2012 2011 2011
Trade of goods/services 1,762 1,485 1,794
Goods 1,156 795 1,339
-Exports 19,383 19,444 19,316
-Imports 18,227 18,649 17,977
Services 606 689 455
Income and current
transfers -1,576 -1,351 -1,453
---------------------------------------------------
CURRENT ACCOUNT 186 134 342
---------------------------------------------------
Capital account 489 686 453
Financial account -2,668 -1,738 2,280
-Direct investment 345 1,237 -185
Abroad -3,359 -2,704 -91
In Hungary 3,704 3,940 -94
-Portfolio investments 406 -1,181 3,884
--------------------------------------------------------
KSH TRADE BALANCE (million euros)
June '12 Jan-June '12 May '12 June '11 Jan-June '11
761.7 3,588.2 701 570.8 3,822.6
NOTE: June 2012 figures are preliminary. Figures from the
Central Statistics Office (KSH).
---------------------------------------------------------
CENTRAL BANK INTERNATIONAL RESERVES (bln euros, end-period)
July 2012 June 2012 Dec 2011 July 2011
35.899 35.575 37.774 36.106
------------------------------------------------------
LATEST TREASURY BILL AUCTION YIELDS (pct)
6-week 3-month 12-month
7.08 6.85 6.98
LATEST GOVERNMENT BOND AUCTION YIELDS (pct)
3-yr 2015/C 5-yr 2017/A 10-yr 2022/A 15-yr 2028/A
6.84 7.09 7.33 7.92
---------------------------------------------------------
HUNGARY'S SOVEREIGN RATINGS (Outlook in brackets)
Fitch Moody's S&P
(negative) (negative) (negative)
Short-term forint N/A N/A B
Long-term forint BBB- Ba1 BB+
Short-term foreign c. B N/A B
Long-term foreign c. BB+ Ba1 BB+
Data release diary.........................
Forecasts for key indicators..............
COPYRIGHT
Copyright Thomson Reuters 2012. All rights reserved.
The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters.
Base rate 7.00 pct (+5
0 bps on Dec 20)
2-week deposit rate 7.00 pct (+50 bps on Dec 20)
--------------------------------------------------------
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT CHANGE (pct)
Q1 2012 Q4 2011 FY 2011 Q1 2011
Unadjusted (y/y) -0.7 1.4 1.7 2.5
Calendar-adjusted (y/y) -1.2 1.5 1.7 2.4
Seasonally and
calendar-adjusted (q/q) -1.2 0.0 N/A 1.4
--------------------------------------------------------
INFLATION (pct change)
June '12 May '12
Headline CPI m/m 0.1 -0.2
Headline CPI y/y 5.6 5.3
Core CPI y/y 4.9 4.8
BREAKDOWN OF MONTH-ON-MONTH CHANGE
Food Alcohol Clothing Consumer Energy Other Service Total
tobacco durables goods
2011
June -1.0 0.2 -0.6 -0.4 0.1 -0.4 0.3 -0.2
July -1.2 0.2 -2.5 -0.2 0.1 -0.5 0.7 -0.3
Aug -1.1 0.5 -2.6 -0.3 0.0 0.8 0.3 -0.1
Sept -0.5 0.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 -0.1
Oct 0.4 0.6 3.8 0.2 1.6 1.4 -0.2 0.7
Nov 1.2 1.2 0.7 -0.1 0.5 1.5 -0.2 0.7
Dec 0.1 1.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2
2012
Jan 2.8 3.0 -2.7 -0.2 1.0 2.8 2.2 2.1
Feb 1.7 0.9 -0.6 0.1 2.7 0.2 0.3 0.8
March 0.8 3.0 0.9 -0.3 0.2 1.2 0.2 0.8
April 0.8 1.1 2.4 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.5 0.8
May 0.3 0.6 0.9 -0.3 0.1 -1.4 -0.1 -0.2
June 1.9 0.4 -3.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.3 0.7
BREAKDOWN OF CPI YEAR-ON-YEAR CHANGE*
Food Alcohol Clothing Consumer Energy Other Service Total
tobacco durables goods
2011
June 6.7 -0.9 4.9 -1.3 3.6 5.3 2.1 3.5
July 5.4 -0.3 4.9 -1.4 3.5 4.4 2.1 3.1
Aug 6.3 -0.1 3.8 -1.3 4.8 5.6 2.0 3.6
Sept 6.2 -0.4 2.5 -1.3 4.6 5.7 2.3 3.6
Oct 5.1 0.2 3.2 -1.2 5.9 7.4 2.5 3.9
Nov 5.1 1.6 3.4 -1.4 6.3 8.6 2.5 4.3
Dec 4.6 4.1 2.5 -1.2 5.9 6.8 2.7 4.1
2012
Jan 5.5 6.7 2.8 -1.5 6.4 8.5 4.6 5.5
Feb 6.0 7.6 4.8 -1.3 8.1 8.7 4.5 5.9
March 4.7 10.8 3.6 -1.4 6.8 8.6 4.1 5.5
April 4.2 12.6 2.0 -1.2 7.0 9.1 4.2 5.7
May 4.1 13.2 2.0 -1.3 6.9 7.7 3.8 5.3
June -0.1 0.7 -0.3 -0.1 0.0 -0.4 0.5 0.1
INDUSTRIAL PPI DATA (pct change)
PPI June 2012 May 2012 June 2011
y/y 6.9 7.8 -1.0
m/m -1.6 0.8 -0.8
--------------------------------------------------
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT (pct change)
June 2012 May 2012 June 2011
Month-on-month (adjusted) -2.2 3.5 -0.5
Year-on-year (adjusted) 0.6 2.4 0.8
Year-on-year (unadjusted) 0.6 0.1 -1.4
NOTE: June figures are preliminary. Month-on-month figures
are seasonally and working day-adjusted. Adjusted year-on-year
data reflect the number of working days.
-----------------------------------------------------------
UNEMPLOYMENT April-June March-May April-June
2012 2012 2011
Unemployed 10.9 11.2 10.8
(Pct of workforce)
Number of jobless 472,200 485,400 460,700
Employed 50.6 50.2 49.6
(Pct of workforce)
(million) 3.876 3.849 3.808
------------------------------------------------------------
May April May '11
GROSS WAGE GROWTH (Y/Y) 6.4 2.5 6.9
Private sector 9.4 6.5 6.6
Public sector -0.6 -7.3 6.6
Ex-bonus private sector 9.6 7.6 4.5
-----------------------------------------------------
RETAIL SALES (pct change)
May April May 2011 Jan-May 2012
Month-on-month -0.1 -1.0 0.2 n/a
Year-on-year -2.5 -2.8 0.8 -1.0
NOTE - Month-on-month retail data are seasonally and working
day-adjusted. Year-on-year data are working day-adjusted.
--------------------------------------------------------
BUDGET BALANCE (in billion Hungarian forints)
Jan-July 2012 Jan-July 2011
Central state budget -542.5 -1,367.5
Indep. govt funds 86.0 85.4
Social sec. funds 19.0 -212.4
BALANCE -437.5 -1,494.5
NOTE - The figures are preliminary, cash flow-based and do
not include local governments.
----------------------------------------------------------
DETAILED CENTRAL BANK C/A AND FINANCING (million euros)
Q1 Q4 Q1
2012 2011 2011
Trade of goods/services 1,762 1,485 1,794
Goods 1,156 795 1,339
-Exports 19,383 19,444 19,316
-Imports 18,227 18,649 17,977
Services 606 689 455
Income and current
transfers -1,576 -1,351 -1,453
---------------------------------------------------
CURRENT ACCOUNT 186 134 342
---------------------------------------------------
Capital account 489 686 453
Financial account -2,668 -1,738 2,280
-Direct investment 345 1,237 -185
Abroad -3,359 -2,704 -91
In Hungary 3,704 3,940 -94
-Portfolio investments 406 -1,181 3,884
--------------------------------------------------------
KSH TRADE BALANCE (million euros)
June '12 Jan-June '12 May '12 June '11 Jan-June '11
761.7 3,588.2 701 570.8 3,822.6
NOTE: June 2012 figures are preliminary. Figures from the
Central Statistics Office (KSH).
---------------------------------------------------------
CENTRAL BANK INTERNATIONAL RESERVES (bln euros, end-period)
July 2012 June 2012 Dec 2011 July 2011
35.899 35.575 37.774 36.106
------------------------------------------------------
LATEST TREASURY BILL AUCTION YIELDS (pct)
6-week 3-month 12-month
7.08 6.85 6.98
LATEST GOVERNMENT BOND AUCTION YIELDS (pct)
3-yr 2015/C 5-yr 2017/A 10-yr 2022/A 15-yr 2028/A
6.84 7.09 7.33 7.92
---------------------------------------------------------
HUNGARY'S SOVEREIGN RATINGS (Outlook in brackets)
Fitch Moody's S&P
(negative) (negative) (negative)
Short-term forint N/A N/A B
Long-term forint BBB- Ba1 BB+
Short-term foreign c. B N/A B
Long-term foreign c. BB+ Ba1 BB+
Data release diary.........................
Forecasts for key indicators..............
COPYRIGHT
Copyright Thomson Reuters 2012. All rights reserved.
The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters.
