Macroeconomic News


Philippines' July annual inflation at 6-mth high

Wed, 8th Aug 2012 02:22


MANILA, Aug 8 (Reuters) - The Philippines' annual inflation

rate in July was 3.2 percent, hig
her than expectations, with

increases in almost all commodity groups, government data showed

on Tuesday.

The median forecast in a Reuters poll of 12 economists was

for July annual inflation of 3.0 percent, picking up from June's

2.8 percent.

The central bank had forecast 2.6 to 3.5 percent annual

inflation in July.



Change in pct July June May Apr Mar Feb Jan



Headline (yr/yr) 3.2 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.6 2.7 4.0



Headline (mth/mth) 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.4



Core (yr/yr) 4.1 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.0 3.2 4.3



KEY POINTS:

- Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Amando Tetangco

has said the central bank was ready to take more policy action,

if needed, adding authorities were evaluating if there was scope

for more liberal foreign exchange rules to help better manage

strong capital inflows.

- The BSP cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a new low

of 3.75 percent on July 26, its third rate cut this year, to

shield the economy from slower global growth and temper a rising

peso that is hurting exports and remittances.

- Economists in a Reuters poll last week expect inflation to

average 3.1 percent this year, matching the central bank's

estimate.

- The central bank said last month it sees average inflation

in 2013 at 3.2 percent, lower than an earlier forecast of 3.4

percent.

- Some economists now expect a fourth rate cut this year on

mounting concerns over the health of the global economy, and

with the peso likely to strengthen further against the U.S.

dollar on the back of strong capital inflows.

- The Philippine economy expanded at a faster-than-expected

6.4 percent annual pace in the first quarter, its fastest in a

year-and-a-half, but economists have warned the economy could

lose momentum in the coming quarters due to global headwinds.



(Reporting by Erik dela Cruz; Editing by Rosemarie Francisco)

Keywords: PHILIPPINE ECONOMY/INFLATION

(karen.lema@thomsonreuters.com)(+632 841-8938)(Reuters Messaging: karen.lema.reuters.com@reuters.net)

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