Forex News


European session FX preopen

Fri, 20th Jul 2012 08:45


This is a FOREX market update at the european session preopen.

Main headlines:

World braced for n
ew food crisis.-FT

Global economy hobbled by Europe, 2013 promises more.-Reuters

German lawmakers approve Spanish rescue.-FT

Spain Struggles to Sell Debt as French Yields Fall to Record.-Bloomberg

Brussels Beat: ECB Sees Less Risk in Changing Course.-WSJ

China Corporate Profits Sinking May Pressure Wen to Reduce Taxes.-Bloomberg

No Inflation With Record-Low Yields Boosting Emerging Bonds.-Bloomberg

Violence in Syria Escalates as Russia Again Shields Assad.-Bloomberg

Russia, China veto U.N. Security Council resolution on Syria.-Reuters

Days are Numbered for Syrian Regime: Expert.-CNBC

South Africa Unexpectedly Cuts Benchmark Lending Rate.-Bloomberg

America's wrap up:

US earnings push stocks to two-month highs.-FT

Factory, jobs data show economy mired in weakness.-Reuters

US Home Sales to Factories Point to Second-Half Weakness.-Bloomberg

Manufacturing in Philadelphia Area Falls for Third Month.-Bloomberg

Fed can control long-term rates, top official argues in paper.-Reuters

GOP Takes Aim at Federal Reserve and Bernanke.-CNBC

Tea Party Race for Compromise on Fiscal Cliff.-CNBC

Obama eyes Florida on rising economic angst.-Reuters

Reagan Praised Entrepreneurs, Obama Trashes Them.-CNBC

U.S. banks haunted by mortgage demons that won't go away.-Reuters

Apple's latest iPad makes low-key debut in China.-Reuters

Microsoft Swings to Loss.-WSJ

Mayer gets $70 million pay package to lead Yahoo.-Reuters

Canadian Dollar Reaches Two-Month High Amid Bets on Stimulus by Fed, China.-Bloomberg

Asia-Pacific summary:

Asia Stocks Drop With Euro on Global Concern

BOJ Shirakawa: Europe crisis risks further yen rise.-Reuters

Sinking China Profits May Pressure Wen on Taxes.-Bloomberg

Zuma warns on Africa's ties to China.-FT

Weakest Monsoon Since 2009 Seen Shrinking India's Rice Harvest This Year

Indian premier faces economic challenge.-FT

Thaksin Calls for Talks Over His Return to Thailand.-Bloomberg

European news:

German Lawmakers Back Aid for Spain.-WSJ

Greeks Brace for Pain on Wages.-WSJ

Spain Insists $15 Billion Aid for Regions Won't Swell Guindos Debt Plans.-Bloomberg

Spain Bond Sale Sends Chill.-WSJ

Ireland Bulldozes Ghost Estate in Glimpse of Life Following Housing Bubble.-Bloomberg

Euro slips on Spain worries, near record low vs Aussie.-Reuters

Warm glow of Sweden's 'all weather' currency.-FT

Regulator gears up wider Libor inquiry.-FT

Peugeot case reflects Hollande's dilemma.-FT

Edmund Phelps Germany is right to ask for austerity.-FT

FOREX action

EUR: The euro crosses are consolidating following yesterday's losses which were acute versus the GBP, JPY, AUD and other pairs. Spain's debt auction reminded the market that the European crisis is entrenched and there is renewed talk of a sovereign bailout after the summer. EUR-USD is moving in the middle of the 1.22-1.23 range. All eyes are set on the 1.21627 support level. EUR-JPY is holding above 96.00. Below that level Japanese authorities are prone to intervene to avoid yen appreciation.

GBP: The sterling crosses give up some of their recent gains. Eurozone risk aversion buttresses the pound. Public sector net borrowing figures are scheduled to be released today. The cable is now a bit below 1.5700, while GBP-JPY trades near 123.32. EUR-GBP breached yesterday the 0.7800 support zone but it is now above that threshold.

CHF: The Swiss franc is firmer against the dollar. The USD-CHF cross rate is consolidating after reaching a one and a half year high at 0.98731. In a wide sense the franc is considered to be a euro related play. Meanwhile, EUR-CHF is in its familiar trading range close to 1.2000. No change ahead expected as the SNB is still determined to defend that 'Maginot' line.

Nordics: Both the NOK and the SEK are moving sideways versus the dollar and the euro. They may finish the week with an upside bias that is specially acute in the SEK. The hawkish Riksbank minutes released this week show that the strong economic performance of Sweden could see he country avoid a rate cut below the current 1.50% level.

USD & JPY: The greenback and the yen are still preferred in a 'risk on-risk off' context. As previously thought, Bernanke's two day testimony in Congress, while acknowledging the slowdown of the US economy, gave no hint of further monetary stimulus. Our guess is for the arrival of QE3 as early as September. It could be preannounced in the mid-August annual Fed meeting to be held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. USD-JPY dropped yesterday from the 78.50 zone and is now moving close to 78.58.

CAD, AUD & NZD: The three dollars take a much needed pause against their peers after their strong weekly behavior. USD-CAD finally broke the important support found in the 1.0100 area and fell towards parity. AUD-USD is still trading above 1.04.



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