Moosh's Blog RSS Feed - London South East

1 week to Christmas.....Bah Humbug!

Moosh — Fri, 21 Dec 2012 00:00:00 GMT

Here ends my series of blogs which I hope has proved the principle that with a basic understanding of technical analysis, alongside a low risk money management strategy, that the average investor does not need to have a large amount of capital in order to make gains consistently in the stock market.

2 weeks to Christmas..... Mission is Possible

Moosh — Fri, 14 Dec 2012 00:00:00 GMT

When I was 13, my maths teacher taught us about compound interest with the following equation:

3 weeks to Christmas..... Petropavlovsk (TIDM: POG)

Moosh — Thu, 06 Dec 2012 00:00:00 GMT

Having been introduced to POG recently after watching it from afar and after looking briefly at the fundamentals, I took the plunge with a small holding at the start of October 2012.

4 weeks to Christmas..... Kalimantan Gold Corporation

Moosh — Thu, 29 Nov 2012 00:00:00 GMT

Between October 2011 and Spring 2012, KLG provided two opportunities for short term trends which were weekly oversold-overbought price swings, with each relating to forestry permit news.

5 weeks to Christmas.....Oxford Pharmascience

Moosh — Fri, 23 Nov 2012 00:00:00 GMT

Last Christmas, I gave you a present in my diary in the form of OXP.

6 weeks to Christmas.....Caza Oil and Gas

Moosh — Thu, 15 Nov 2012 00:00:00 GMT

My last blog post featuring CAZA saw its share price peak at ~15.75p at the start of 2012, followed by a gradual price drop which has lasted for most of the year.

7 weeks to Christmas...a reflection on recent weeks

Moosh — Thu, 08 Nov 2012 00:00:00 GMT

OK, so this week is an easy one, a catch-up blog post to put together the story so far in the context of an overall slow growth strategy for an investor who doesn’t have much capital to work with but who doesn’t see that as a stumbling block in order to harness the power of the stock market.

8 weeks to Christmas.....Goldplat

Moosh — Thu, 01 Nov 2012 00:00:00 GMT

The last blog post dedicated to GDP earlier this year saw GDP falling from its Winter2011/Spring 2012 high of 15p+ and I was waiting to settle in to the next short term trend.

9 weeks to Christmas.....Empyrean Energy

Moosh — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 23:00:00 GMT

Since the price peak of ~9p in Spring 2012 I decided to leave EME alone for a few months to see how low it would go and reassess the situation when the next VOh appeared once daily VO had become negative again.

10 weeks to Christmas.....Horizonte Minerals

Moosh — Wed, 17 Oct 2012 23:00:00 GMT

HZM made a 100% price movement at the start of 2012, followed by a gradual fall to 7p in Summer 2012..

11 weeks to Christmas.....Petroneft Resources

Moosh — Wed, 10 Oct 2012 23:00:00 GMT

PTR has fallen from grace after becoming overbought..

12 weeks to Christmas...Cyprotex

Moosh — Thu, 04 Oct 2012 23:00:00 GMT

Let me start where I finished the last series of blogs - with CRX..

The 12 weeks to Christmas: Ebenezer Moosh

Moosh — Wed, 26 Sep 2012 23:00:00 GMT

In my second series of blogs, I have a cross to bear...

Cypro-techs

Moosh — Wed, 11 Jul 2012 23:00:00 GMT

Perhaps a too easy pun on Cyprotex (TIDM: CRX) but all the same, it needed doing!

Bend it like Beximco

Moosh — Wed, 04 Jul 2012 23:00:00 GMT

The share price of Beximco Pharma (TIDM: BXP), at least for as long as I have been invested in it (nearly 2 years) has never reached its net asset value..

Stilo style

Moosh — Sat, 30 Jun 2012 23:00:00 GMT

Stilo International (TIDM: STL) says...

...very little in the way of news announcements and, therefore, most private investors ignore it because it doesn’t provide opportunities to sell on news, which is a shame since there are many companies out there which don’t say much but are still good for gain-making.

This is great from my point of view because it means the share is not ramped by rumour and allows the natural trend to play out in line with company fundamentals.

After last year’s rise from ~2p to just over 4p, there has been recent price movement upwards which can be reasoned with some basic technical observations:

1. Between 8 November 2011 (peak 4.25p) and 24 April 2012 (trough 3.125p), a continuation bullish flag pattern was set up with a breakout on 4 May 2012.

2. Prior to the above breakout, a large sell volume appeared on 24 April 2012 which coincided with the price bouncing off of the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA).

3. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish divergence signal appeared between the lows of 15 March 2012 and 24 April 2012 (lower price lows versus higher indicator lows).

4. Between 26 April 2012 and 30 May 2012 the price made a smooth slow stochastic oversold-to-overbought swing from 3.25p to 4.75p.

5. Hourly Coppock Curve exceeded zero from the end of May 2012 prior to the price surge to 4.75p.

Clear as mud!

Moosh — Fri, 22 Jun 2012 23:00:00 GMT

Occasionally, a trend does not have a blatant bullish divergence signal pre-empting a short-term price movement.

This can be slightly frustrating, but sometimes the picture only becomes clear once the trend is in full swing.

One such example was with Goldplat (TIDM code: GDP) at the start of 2012:

1. After the peak price at ~12.75p in November 2011, the price became oversold again by the daily slow stochastic indicator in December 2011. This continued to drop till 11th January 2012, when the daily relative strength index (RSI) went oversold.

2. Between 11th January 2012 and 31st January 2012, the price moved ~50%, from 10.125p to 15.25p. This was aided by a couple of bullish news items; with co-incident swings from oversold to overbought with RSI and the slow stochastic oscillator.

3. The 29th February 2012 peak at 15.375p gave a small bearish divergence signal - with RSI, volume, momentum, rate of change, and money flow - compared with the 31st January 2012 price peak. This led to a fall in price to under 11p in mid-May 2012. As I type, though, it may still drop further!

4. Although no obvious bullish divergence signals were apparent (and when looking for these signals they should be very obvious and the charts should not need overanalysing to determine them), a large volume day happened on 11th January 2012 before the following price rise, so it may have been that Market-Makers needed to clear the voluminous trade(s) before any price movement could proceed.

Resistance is futile

Moosh — Wed, 13 Jun 2012 23:00:00 GMT

If you aren’t familiar with statuses like ‘oversold’ and ‘overbought’..

Is unloved unwanted?

Moosh — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 23:00:00 GMT

I digress to break the ‘technical’ momentum....

Gold Digger!

Moosh — Wed, 30 May 2012 23:00:00 GMT

It tickles me when investors go on incessantly about news flow being something that keeps the price of a company afloat..

Sweet like chocolate

Moosh — Wed, 23 May 2012 23:00:00 GMT

Thorntons (TIDM code: (THT) provided a good example of a price recovery..

Well Fracked!

Moosh — Thu, 17 May 2012 23:00:00 GMT

Fracture stimulation (or ‘fracking’) of wells…

Desert Island Techs

Moosh — Thu, 10 May 2012 23:00:00 GMT

If I was limited to a handful of technical analysis indicators/techniques, which ones could I not live without?

Resistance is NOT futile

Moosh — Wed, 02 May 2012 23:00:00 GMT

Caza Oil & Gas

Time is money

Moosh — Thu, 26 Apr 2012 23:00:00 GMT

Sefton Resources (TIDM code: SER)

Going Global

Moosh — Fri, 20 Apr 2012 23:00:00 GMT

The aim of my blog is to post past examples of recent short-term trends (usually 4-12 weeks timeframe) where my entries and exits have been aided by the use of a variety of technical analysis (TA) indicators and signals.

A Parallel Universe

Moosh — Thu, 12 Apr 2012 23:00:00 GMT

For my first proper post, I think a rehash of a recent post from my diary chapter is entirely necessary: