Lavrov and Kerry in talks today. Merkel, this week also said that we needed to draw back from sanctions and start a proper dialogue with Russia. German business has already shown negative signs of decline as a result of the sanctions. In the US, there's the normal industry, oil/gas, car making etc have been looking at Russia as the next major investment area, pre-Crimea. They have been giving Obama earache over this sanctions issue. The defense industry has been having it's way too much with reference to geopolitics. Good time for our Rns, if talks are favourable.
Not easy to predict where events are going to lead us. There's more to this than Ukraine. Iraq, Afghan, Libya, Egypt, Syria, Venezuela, Brazil, Georgia, Pakistan, Cuba and the list goes on. Much of it is based on oil price, which the dollar is based on. There's a lot of cash sitting idle, so a little political destabilize policy shakes that cash up. Where is a safe haven for cash etc. Next, many countries will invest in defence, ie helicopters etc. The world economy has been stagnating, this could kick start things. Not to mention all those newly devolved ex soviet states tend to be flush in mineral wealth.
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