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Appears the CA x3 was met yesterday at 50p and that IMO allows for a 20% trade to my current fair value 61, would be surprised if SLP did not buy back some shares yesterday. Fewer people here (inc myself) will consider this overvalued so 50p area is a good place for SLP to defend and make better use of the $6m interest income. All about the TA now.
Https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/toyota-outshine-rivals-more-consumers-opt-hybrids-amid-ev-slowdown-2024-02-02/
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/toyota-crushing-hybrid-vehicles-tesla-001535309.html
Massive re rating coming in several sectors that have been written off due to EVs. Premature. EV hype overdone.
Positive for SLP also and demand for PGMs.
Bangrak - I can only imagine the people who disagreed with you were shareholders and fearful therefore of the worst case scenarios playing out. It's obviously not great for those still holding and sitting on losses.
Those of us who have held Sylvania in the past and are looking for an opportune time to reinvest aren't too interested in talking down the stock either, as it so often rubs people up the wrong way.
Basket price has bottomed IMO.
Wow
I asked Bing if PGMs are used in batteries and got the following reply:
Certainly! Platinum group metals (PGMs) are indeed utilized in lithium batteries, particularly in the pursuit of more efficient and advanced energy storage technologies. Here are some key points:
Lithium Batteries and PGMs:
Platinum group metals (which include elements like platinum and palladium) play a crucial role in enhancing battery performance.
These metals are used as catalysts within the battery system, specifically in the cathodes.
The goal is to improve rate capability (how quickly the battery can charge and discharge) and reduce the charge over potential.
PGMs contribute to the stability and efficiency of lithium batteries.
Recent Developments:
Platinum Group Metals (PTM) and its subsidiary Lion Battery Technologies have been at the forefront of this research.
Lion Battery Technologies was established by Anglo American Platinum (Amplats) and PTM to accelerate the development of next-generation battery technology using platinum and palladium.
The US Patent and Trademark Office has issued a second patent to Florida International University (FIU) related to the use of PGMs in lithium batteries.
The patent covers a preparation method using PGM catalysts in carbon materials for cathodes in various lithium batteries, including lithium-ion, lithium-air, and lithium-sulfur batteries1.
Potential Applications:
PGM-enhanced batteries have the potential to significantly improve the performance of battery electric vehicles (BEVs).
Additionally, PGMs find applications in other green technologies, such as cleaner emissions equipment for internal combustion engines and hydrogen fuel cell power generation in cars and trucks12.
In summary, PGMs are making strides in battery technology, aiming to create more efficient and sustainable energy storage solutions. πβ‘π
If this is correct, then regardless of the type of vehicle PGMs will be required. How much of each metal there would be in each type of vehicle is not clear from the above, but electric vehicles contain large numbers of cells so intuitively one might expect them to need more than trace amounts. In addition, there are various battery storage schemes being developed to support electricity generation projects. This suggests the future might be brighter than the market is currently suggesting.
UK car sales by fuel type 2023 (Until the end of November)
Percentage of new petrol, diesel and electric passenger car sales (source: SMMT)
Fuel type Market share
Petrol 41%
Diesel 4%
Hybrid* 39%
Pure electric 16%
So only 16% of new UK cars (Pure Electric) contain no PGM catalytic converter!
Hybrid* = Mild hybrid petrol, Mild hybrid diesel, Plug-in hybrid, Self-charging hybrid
Bangrak Thanks for your postings I sold over half my holding late last year after reading your negative comments about Sylvania Platinum. As I had a very significant holding following your advice has saved me a lot of money.
Sage words from Bangrak. At current basket prices, 45 pence is where this starts to look a bit more attractive to me, but it's hardly a steal even there.
My FY2024 profit prediction at USD10-12m from some weeks back looks rather optimistic today.
Cash will gradually be eroded from here, absent a change in basket prices or a significant increase in production (which they're working on) or some strong cost cutting. A number of people invested for the dividend; expect a sober analysis and outlook on that front in the interims towards the end of Feb.
This is a well-run company. An investment opportunity may well recur. Of course, if the basket price rallies then current prices may look defensible. But for now, it's still over-valued, I believe. Surprised it didn't drop more yesterday.
After some analysis I'm still sticking with the $5m a quarter as a base, current per is 9.8, cash adjusted (CA) 2 is 44p 3 is 50p 5 is 61p...its hitting its head on that CA 5 ratio so perhaps it needs a 20% gain to entice traders into this one. Based on a wide view i would be cautious about jumping in immediately myself until at least there was a distinct improvement in Rh or it bottomed between cash at 32p and the CA 3 50p That is good value despite the targeted $14m profit not $32m as i see it. Also worth looking at the monthly MACD and this will explain why the price has slid for many months. That IMHO needs to bottom first. The destocking by automakers has not happened as predicted yet, but it could. Worth remembering that my analysis suggesting 60p a few months ago was laughed at and many suggested blocking me now it's in the 50's. PGM's have done this, no comments from anyone will make ANY difference up or down. Our goal is the same, the broker's goal is not the same.
I've just had a quick look at the house broker update.....Page 3 for 2024 profit after tax is shown as $32m. So you have 2024 H1 over and a PAT of $3.3m and the broker still thinks that the total PAT will still be $32m. Exactly how do you manage to get a clear profit of $28m in the next 2 quarters mr "paid" broker?
Over to Simon for an IC update, and then more fresh meat enters the corporate grinder.
Should turnaround soon enough..
Gla.
Rhodium price is slowly climbing actually.
Up 10% from the lows.
Now at $4,500 or so.
Current shareholder register appears to have been swapped with the Bash Street Kids classroom one....
Hairy β
Flabby β
Bonkers β
Agreed the basket price is the pits right now but still making small profit and with big cash pile plus assets worth even more than cash pile it only takes a shift upwards in the basket price to double the SP here.
Hope so Hairy
Looking at your previous pessimistic posts on pretty much every board you post on, maybe share trading isn't for you flabby. We made a profit of over $1.5 million for the quarter, so people are interested in our products. Could be better yes, but this is an AIM company making a profit, Q3 also looks to be a gamechanger in adding company value.
Bit of a nightmare really for me. Thought i had found a company that was well run and profitable but it seems they are mining products no one wants or is willing to pay a decent price for. i have now lost more than half of my investment and may as well stay as i would have thought the bottom must be cash value!
If the market doesn't value the product you are selling at what point do you just stop selling it?
i am not sure what the answer is here as we appear to have a product that isn't valued properly. We can wait until the price goes up again but what are the chances of that. Commodity prices are cyclical but is that the case here?
Bangrak, something like what when what they mine sells for less than it costs to extract, exactly how to reduce costs and what if this long secular price fall continues as seems likelyβ¦
The issue here is AIC is now $1096, net basket is $1047. Down here it's Zero cash as mentioned, they need to do something, costs are now too high.
USD1.559m.
Cash USD107.2m
Looks like they had a lot of typing to do so the Quarterly figures will be tomorrow plus all the other news which has been building for the past months which should show a bright future.
The quarterly figures with a similar production could be $3-$5 million net as not much change in the basket price but if they brought everything on line during the quarter we could see a boost. Basket price it seems to have reached a bottom so looking forward to what they have to say
Looks like it might be tomorrow then lol
Quarterly production figures tomorrow hopefully!