Due for results soon, also expanding Dubai business and with decommissioning in North Sea pipeline, MSc at Aberdeen in decomissioning, it looks like this sector is in for reversal - maybe. Anyway, thought I'd try a little bottom fishing : )
Check the weekly MACD chart its has dropped without a bounce 3 times in a row - looks good for a bounce. Daily MACD is also about to go green which is a good sign There has been quote a lot of large buys at £2.80 region RSI & Stochastic's indicators are pointing up Its been coming down for 8 months on the trot - so good opportunity for a technical bounce if nothing else
Cantor have downgraded and cut forecasts to 23p EPS this year.
BMS will remain on my watchlist for a recovery in its markets, but a 366p share price puts BMS on a P/E of almost 16, which is surely too high. It may be difficult to sustain this price level imo at that rating:
"Profit warning – BMS has issued a profit warning. Tanker markets have seen lower activity levels and freight rates which has led to reduced revenues. In the dry cargo markets, the company states that despite healthy demand and good transaction volumes, overcapacity continues to depress freight rates to historically low levels. Cost cutting measures have been put in place to reduce costs in this area. BMS’s vessel sale & purchase and offshore desks continue to perform in line with management expectations, with similar levels of activity to the previous year. Generally, USD denominated earnings in these divisions will benefit from the weakness of GBP if the exchange rate is sustained at current levels. In the Technical services division, the slowdown in oil & gas exploration and new project work continues to impact surveying and engineering businesses, particularly in relation to offshore activity. To respond to these tough market conditions, the company has already made a number of senior management changes in the Technical division. The Logistics division continues to perform in line with management expectations.
As a result of these events, earnings for the year ending 28 February 2017 for the group will be “materially” lower than for 2016. BMS further states that it is “well financed” with a strong balance sheet and “substantial” order book, cost cutting measures and new divisional management should lead to an improvement in underlying performance. We cut our forecasts for underlying operating profit for FY17 by over 30% to £9m and our EPS is cut by 24% to 23p. Cuts are made to divisional profits in Shipbroking and Technical. Our FY18 and FY19 forecasts are placed under review. Our recommendation is changed to HOLD from BUY, our TP is placed under review. Interim results will be released on Tuesday 25 October, 2016.
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