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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - January 23

Fri, 23rd Jan 2009 06:18




Jan 23 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators

based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency,

government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:

* updated today

CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE

LATEST PREVIOUS

*tenge/dollar 121.60 121.32

Cbank refinancing rate (pct) 10.00 10.50

MONEY

Monetary base(trln tenge) Dec 31 1.47 Nov 30 1.30

Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)

Dec 31 19.40 Nov 30 19.10

National fund ($bln) Dec 31 27.33 Nov 30 26.80

Money supply(M3) (trln tenge) Nov 1 5.69 Oct 1 5.89

QUARTERLY DATA

Jan-Dec'08 Jan-Sept'08 Jan-Dec'07

GDP (trln tenge) n/a 11.614 12.567

GDP (pct) +3.1 +3.9 +8.5

MONTHLY DATA

PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO

MONTH

Industrial output (pct) Nov -0.2 +4.6 n/a

Inflation (pct) Dec +0.2 +0.4 +1.9

Unemployment (pct) Dec 6.7 6.4 7.3

Oil production (mnl T) Dec 6.3 6.0 5.7

Copper output ('000 T) Dec 31.3 36.1 42.5

Zinc output ('000 T) Dec 31.2 30.4 31.2

Copper output ('000 T) Jan-Dec 398.0 --- 406.1

Oil production (mln T) Jan-Dec 70.7 --- 67.1

Zinc output ('000 T) Jan-Dec 365.6 --- 358.2

Inflation (pct) Jan-Dec +9.5 --- +18.8

Industrial output (pct) Jan-Dec +2.1 --- +4.5

Trade balance ($bln) Jan-Nov +32.69 --- +12.81

Exports ($bln) Jan-Nov 66.95 --- 42.58

Imports ($bln) Jan-Nov 34.26 --- 29.77

FORECASTS FOR 2009

GDP growth (pct) 2.0

Annual inflation (pct) 9.0

Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) 571.4/-3.4

Budget revenues (bln tenge) 2.861

Budget spending (bln tenge) 3.432

Industrial output (pct) n/a

Oil output (mln T) 76-79

Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)* n/a

Unemployment (pct) 8.0



ANNUAL COMPARISONS

2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001

GDP 3.1 +8.7 +10.7 +9.7 +9.6 +9.3 +9.8 +13.5

Ind output (pct)

+2.1 +4.5 7.0 +4.6 10.1 +8.8 +9.8 +13.5

Inflation
(pct)

+9.5 +18.8 +8.6 +7.6 +6.7 +6.8 +6.6 +6.4

Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)

n/a 4.61 3.72 2.07 1.64 1.00 0.77 0.57

Yr end unemployment (pct)

7.0 7.3 7.8 8.2 8.4 8.8 9.3 10.4

Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)

15.6 20.1 16.5 13.8 12.4 14.8 15.9 15.9

Oil output (mln T)

70.6 67.1 65.0 61.9 59.4 51.5 47.2 40.1

Copper output ('000 T)

398.0 405.8 427.5 418.8 445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8

Note: Oil output includes gas condensate

KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS

S&P (April 30, 2008) BBB- negative outlook

Moody's (June 9, 2006) Baa2 stable outlook

Fitch (Nov 10, 2008) BBB- negative outlook

(State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,

Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/

Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)

Keywords: KAZAKHSTAN INDICATORS/

(Almaty Newsroom +7 7272 508500, almaty.newsroom@reuters.com)

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