Finance & Stock Market News


Glance-UK's FTSE slips, waiting for U.S. jobs report

Fri, 6th Jul 2012 09:15


* FTSE 100 index sheds 0.2 percent

* Strong U.S. jobs report could be good or bad

*
Weak miners, energy stocks weigh



By Jon Hopkins

LONDON July 6 (Reuters) - Britain's top share index fell in

early trade on Friday, with investors cautious ahead of key U.S.

jobs data, worried that an encouraging report might lower the

chance of another round of policy action in the United States.

Some analysts have upgraded their forecasts for U.S. June

non-farm payrolls numbers, due at 1230 GMT, following Thursday's

U.S. private sector jobs data which came in much better than

expected. The ADP report showed an addition of 176,000 job last

month, against a forecast of 105,000.

Credit Agricole revised its prediction for non-farm payrolls

to 135,000 from 100,000, while Goldman Sachs hiked its forecast

to 125,000 from 75,000. A Thomson Reuters survey published

earlier this week had predicted an addition of 90,000 workers.

'If the figure today is equal to or greater than

expectations, then the market will simultaneously discount a

diminished chance of QE (quantitative easing) by the U.S. with

an improvement or stabilising to outlook, with the potential

outcome to prices likely to be a paradoxical equilibrium of both

good and bad news,' said David White, Financials Trader at

Spreadex.

At 0746 GMT, the FTSE 100 index was down 10.05

points, or 0.2 percent, at 5,682.58, having closed 0.1 percent

higher on Thursday.

Early volume was very thin, however, at less than 5 percent

of the 90-day daily average, as most investors preferred to

stick to the sidelines ahead of the U.S. data.

Weakness in energy stocks and miners were the main drags on blue chip sentiment as

commodity prices fell on demand concerns, with cautious broker

comment also weighing on the miners.

Societe Generale said more earnings downgrades could be on

the way for the miners and repeated its 'underweight' stance on

the sector, as the broker fears an expected rebound in China

activity will fail to materialise.

Moves by central banks in China, Europe and Britain on

Thursday to loosen monetary policy in an attempt to boost

flagging global growth ended up spooking investors, who saw the

measures as a sign of growing alarm about the global economic

slowdown.

'The decisions on the part of the Bank of England to extend

its asset purchase programme ... and the ECB to cut its rate (on

Thursday) ... were both expected and the buzzword today seems to

be diminishing returns and the fact the central banks are

running out of ammo,' said Andrew Crook, trader at Sucden

Financial.



BROKER ACTION

Downgrades in ratings by Morgan Stanley, in a review of

European Business Services groups, weighed on two of the biggest

individual blue chip fallers - plumbing supplies firm Wolseley and testing equipment group Intertek, which

lost 1.5 percent and 1.4 percent respectively.

'Business Services is a stock-picking sector not a

need-to-own. For 2H12, we see the most attractive opportunities

among the underperforming areas of the last 18 months: staffing,

outsourcing and value,' Morgan Stanley said.

Broker comment also had a positive impact for some blue

chips, with insurer Aviva, the top FTSE 100 gainer - up

3.2 percent - helped by an upgrade in rating from Societe

Generale to 'hold' from 'sell'.

SocGen's move came in the wake of a strategy review by

Aviva, unveiled on Thursday, which saw Britain's No.2 insurer

plan to sell or close more than a quarter of its businesses.

Aviva kicked off that programme on Friday by selling part of

its stake in Dutch rival Delta Lloyd for 318 million

pounds ($494 million).

Ahead of Friday's key U.S. data, investors will eye British

wholesale inflation numbers, due at 0830 GMT, with PPI input

numbers seen falling 2.1 percent on the month, and PPI input

numbers forecast to be down 0.2 percent.



(Editing by Catherine Evans)

((jon.hopkins@thomsonreuters.com)(02075428954)(Reuters

Messaging: jon.hopkins.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))



Keywords: MARKETS BRITAIN STOCKS/

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